Can Purdue Top Lowest Power 5 Win Betting Total in Nation?

jeff brohm purdue

Tuesday, July 4, 2017 2:47 PM GMT

When does NCAA basketball season start? That’s what fans of Purdue University might be asking very early in the 2017 college football season because it looks to be a very long year in West Lafayette, Ind., with the lowest win total on the board.

One Of Worst Power 5 Programs

Ah, the Purdue football program. It has spit out some good NFL players, led by future Hall of Famer Drew Brees. In fact, it used to be known as a solid quarterback factory with other QBs like Jim Everett, Jeff George, Kyle Orton, Bob Griese, Len Dawson and Gary Danielson all playing their college ball in West Lafayette, Ind.

Unfortunately, those days are long gone.

The Boilermakers haven’t finished with a winning record since Joe Tiller’s second-to-last as head coach in 2007. The past four years, Purdue managed combined nine victories, which is a total that Big Ten rival Ohio State has by November every season. Last October, Purdue mercifully fired head coach Darrell Hazell, who was clearly in over his head and finished with a 9-33 record overall and 3-24 in the Big Ten. Hazell came to Purdue after guiding Kent State to an 11-3 record in 2012.

Now, you might think that Purdue wouldn’t be a great job, but it’s still in the Big Ten and thus some guys are going to pursue it. There was some talk that Purdue would chase fired LSU coach Les Miles after firing Hazell but instead turned to Western Kentucky’s Jeff Brohm, and that move was lauded around the country. The former Louisville quarterback was 30-10 in his three seasons with the Hilltoppers.

If you are going to stink, at least stink interesting. That means offense. Brohm's offenses averaged 44.6 points and 526.1 yards per game in his tenure, finishing in the Top 10 nationally each year in both categories. Purdue's offense under Hazell never averaged more than 25.1 points per game. This will be a pass-happy attack. Brohm, who learned his coaching wares under Bobby Petrino, inherits a team that hasn't won consecutive games since 2012.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/7hKKwSgP-VQ", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]

Plenty Of Work To Do For Brohm

So what to expect from Purdue this year? Not much, according to 5Dimes college football picks as the Boilers are given a win total of just 2.5. That’s the lowest of any Power 5 Conference team. Even sad-sacks like Rutgers and Kansas have totals of 3. The ‘over’ is a -125 favorite for Purdue.

Brohm has some solid returning weapons on offense in quarterback David Blough and running back Markell Jones. Blough completed 295 of 517 last season (57.1 percent) for 3,352 yards, 25 touchdowns and 21 picks – too many interceptions, to be sure. Jones rushed 153 times for 616 yards and four scores.  Blough did lose four key wideouts in DeAngelo Yancey, Domonique Young, Cameron Posey and Bilal Marshall who combined to make 157 catches for 2,122 yards and 17 TDs in 2016.

Overall, 13 starters are due back, with eight on defense. The D was second-to-last in yards allowed in the Big Ten at 445.8 per game and last in points per game at 38.3.

Purdue opens the season in Indianapolis on Sept. 2 against Louisville and 2016 Heisman winner Lamar Jackson. The Cards are -26.5. Purdue might only be a college football betting favorite once all season: Sept. 8 vs. MAC school Ohio. The only realistic road win on the schedule: Oct. 21 at Rutgers. At home in Big Ten play? Maybe the season finale against Indiana is winnable, but I doubt it. This looks like a 2-10 team at best.

Free NCAAF Pick: ‘Under’ 2.5 WinsBest Line Offered: 5Dimes