BYU as New King Rat in Weekly ATS Rankings After Suffering 7th Straight ATS Loss

Mississippi State vs. BYU game week 7

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, October 17, 2017 3:33 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 17, 2017 3:33 PM GMT

The number of FBS teams perfect ATS, be it losing or winning, continues to dwindle with #20 Central Florida retaining its Top Cat status and Independent Brigham Young (BYU) earning the new King Rat title. Let’s look at at our latest weekly NCAA College Football Top ATS Cats and Rats list for Week 8.

Top 5 College Football ATS Cats List (October 16, 2017)

 

1. Central Florida 5-0 ATS (Last Week: #1)

Central Florida (5-0 SU/ATS) stays Top Cat in our weekly NCAA Football ATS rankings after thrashing East Carolina at Home in Orlando in Week 7 in American Athletic Conference play as bettors got the best of the sportsbooks, cashing in on the Point Spread that moved the most in a game (7 points), seeing the line go from an opening 29½ all the way up to as high as 36½ and QB McKenzie Milton (1,489 Passing yards, 15 TDs, 2 INTs), WR Tre’Quan Smith (20 Receptions, 430 yards, 7 TDs) and the now #20 Golden Knights (8.05 ypp) staying perfect both SU/ATS in a 63-21 final scoreline which could have actually been worse.

So RB Adrian Killins Jr. and UCF are strutting their stuff on Offense (547.2 ypg Total Offense, #5). They are covering the number (FBS-best +19.9 ppg better than ATS) and the Defense—#2 in the Red Zone in FBS in 2016—is also doing its part with the Golden Knights ranking #4 in TO Margin (+1.60) with 12 Takeaways and only 4 Giveaways heading into Week 8 where UCF has a date at Navy on Saturday in a game which has seen the spread go from an opening (UCF minus) 6½ up to as high as 8½ in less than 24 hours from post. The Sharps, Public, and Press are all now seemingly on to 2nd-year Head Coach Scott Frost (13-5 ATS) and UCF.

 

2. Georgia Tech 5-0 ATS (Last Week: #3)

Georgia Tech (3-2 SU, 5-0 ATS) may have seen any dream national championship hopes crushed at Miami Florida in Week 7 in a late, tough 24-23 loss at Hard Rock Stadium, but 10th-year Head Coach Paul Johnson (59-49-5 ATS) and the Ramblin’ Wreck covered ATS once again and that’s how we keep score in these parts of the planet, Peter. QB TaQuon Marshall and Georgia Tech are currently playing 9.8 points above the Spread, and in Week 8, Wake Forest heads to Atlanta to face Georgia Tech in a rare October night ACC game which has seen early money on the Demon Deacons with the Point Spread moving from an opening (GT minus) 8½ down to 6½ with a few 7’s still to be found. Note: Tech Unders are 4-1. The Trends show Wake Forest to be 3-0 ATS the L3 vs. the Yellow Jackets although these two haven’t played each other since 2010.

 

3. Utah 5-0-1 ATS (Last Week: #5)

Thirteenth-year Head Coach Kyle Whittingham (81-67-4 ATS) and Utah move up two spots after losing to #10 USC on a last-second FG in the Rose Bowl in Week 7, 28-27, covering ATS as huge 13½ Road Underdogs—the perfect betting spot for the Utes who improved to 9-1 ATS in the L10. This coming Saturday in Week 8 play hosting Arizona State at Rice-Eccles Stadium (FieldTurf) in Salt Lake City. The Utes (+4.4 ppg vs ATS) will face the Sun Devils in a game which has seen early Sharp action on visiting ASU, driving the line from its opening (Utah minus) 10½ down to as low as -7 in the first 24 hours on the board with bettors obviously thinking the original double-digit number was too high and that WR N’Keal Harry and the Sun Devils looked pretty good in Week 7, stifling #5 Washington in Tempe, 13-7.

Perhaps looking Under (56, JustBet) is the best route here in the Beehive State but the series Trends reveal Utah to be a perfect 4-0 ATS the L4 vs ASU, winning by 23 points last year in Tempe, 49-26 (UTAH -3½). Expect this one to be much tighter and much more low-scoring with temperatures expected to be as Low as 38° on Saturday night in Salt Lake City (WNW Winds, 8 mph). The Sun Devils have W3 ATS while ASU Unders are 5-1, cashing in for their backers the L3 straight. Utah’s ATS Push came in Week 6 against Stanford as 3-point Underdogs in a 23-20 loss at Palo Alto. Note: Utes QB Tyler Huntley (Arm) is listed as Questionable, definitely another reason for the early Point Spread movement downward.

 

4. Fresno State 5-0-1 ATS (Last Week: Not Ranked)

Fresno State (4-2 SU, 5-0-1 ATS) has played +16.4 ppg better than the Point Spread so far this 2017 FBS Regular Season—the second-best mark behind Top Cat UCF’s +194 ppg. It wouldn’t be fair to say that 1st-year Head Coach Jeff Tedford (5-0-1 ATS) and the Bulldogs have faced patsies on their slate—despite the Week 1 game against Incarnate Word and a feast against San José State in Week 6—after having to play #1 Alabama and #4 Washington back-to-back and on the Road in Weeks 2 and 3. You try that Bubba. And although Fresno State lost by 31 to the Crimson Tide and by 32 to the Huskies, as Road Underdogs of 43 and 33 respectively, the Bulldogs got the butter, and in the process, sharpened their canines for games like this weekend in Week 8 against San Diego State in a game which has seen the Aztecs go from opening 11½-point chalks down to 7½ almost everywhere.

The Trends show that Fresno State—which blanked New Mexico, 38-0 in MWC play in Week 7 at Home at Bulldog Stadium in Fresno—is 3-1-1 ATS L5 vs. San Diego State but 1-3-2 ATS the L6 at Qualcomm Stadium (Grass) in San Diego. Anyone grabbing Fresno and the double-digits here may be getting “the best of it.”

 

5. Buffalo 6-1 ATS (Last Week: #4)

Eleventh-year Head Coach Lance Leipold (16-13 ATS) and Buffalo (3-4 SU, 6-1 ATS) got the money in Week 7 in MAC showdown with NIU at Buffalo which saw the visiting Huskies win 17-14 but fail to cover ATS in a game which ended up being good for the sportsbooks (NIU -8½). This weekend, in Week 8 play at against Miami Ohio at The Cradle of Coaches in Oxford, Ohio, Buffalo (+6.1 ppg vs ATS) are currently 3-point Underdogs to the Redhawks with the top two QBs on the Bulls Depth Chart, Tyree Jackson (Knee) and Drew Anderson (Shoulder), both listed as Doubtful with third-stringer Kyle Vantrease (8/16, 153 yards, 0 TDs, INT) expected to get the start against host Miami although the host Redhawks (2-5 SU, 1-6 ATS) have QB issues of their own with starter Gus Ragland (Lower Body) Out Indefinitely and Billy Bahl getting the call. Of note: All three Buffalo Road games this season have gone Under the Total. The Bulls lone non-ATS Cover came at Home against FCS Colgate in Week 3 with Buffalo laying 23½ points and winning by 23 points, 33-10.

 

Top 5 College Football ATS Rats List (October 16, 2017)
 1. Brigham Young 0-7 ATS (Last Week: #2)

BYU is the new deserving King Rat after 2nd-year Head Coach Kalani Sitake (9-9 ATS) and the Cougars (1-6 SU, 0-7 ATS) made it 7 straight ATS Losses to start the season after QB Tyler Mangum and BYU (-11.9 ppg versus ATS) lost at Mississippi State in Week 7, 35-10 as 22½-point Underdogs in their 5th Under in 7 games last Saturday. His Royal Highness himself Lord Gamblör doth granted us an extremely early Rat Bowl this Saturday as new King Rat BYU heads to East Carolina to play former King Rat East Carolina in an affair in which someone has to cover ATS, right? And talk about a clash of styles ... BYU (-1.29 TO’s a game, #121) can’t score and ECU can’t stop opponents from scoring, so who knows what to expect although the Site of Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium (Grass) in Greenville, NC would hint at a higher-scoring affair and there were 83 points scored when these two met in Provo two years ago (BYU 45 ECU 38, BYU -10). If BYU (-20.8 scoring Margin) loses at East Carolina on Saturday (BYU -5½, BookMaker), AD Tom Holmoe will need to think about finding this former MWC member a conference in which to play football.

 

2. East Carolina 1-6 ATS (Last Week: #2)

East Carolina faced #20 Central Florida in Orlando on Saturday at Bright House Networks Stadium in Week 7 and even though the Pirates were getting more points than any other Underdog on the betting board, UCF rolled, 63-21 as the ECU Defense allowed its 350th point in 7 games (Opponents Scoring 50.0 ppg, worst in FBS). The only ATS cover by East Carolina came to a former Top 5 ATS Rat, UConn, in Week 4 (ECU 41-38, UConn -5). Next, for 2nd-year Head Coach, Scottie Montgomery (2-9 ATS) and the Pirates is that aforementioned Rat Bowl against BYU in their Homecoming on Saturday in Week 8, in what will be a battle between two teams have who have covered just one time in their L16 combined lined games. ECU heads in with a -1.00 TO Margin, a -29.3 ppg Scoring Margin—only San José State (-31.6 ppg) is worse—and the Pirates have L9 of 10 ATS and are a horrific 2-15 its L17 ATS. You can watch this one with 3D Glasses and a fifth of Rum, but I doubt it will help, brother. Slightest lean to the Over (54½, 5Dimes) if anything.

 

3. Louisville 1-6 ATS (Last Week: Not Ranked)

The wheels are coming off at Louisville (4-3 SU, 1-6 ATS), where the Cardinals lost at Home to Boston College as big 18½-point Favorites in Week 7, their 5th straight ATS setback sending them straight to the #3 spot on our Rats List. Losing to NC State on the Road is one thing but falling to the Eagles at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium in Louisville is quite another, sister. Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson and the Cardinals will be facing a team on Saturday in Week 8 with 0 ATS Wins this Regular Season (Florida State) in a football Conference (the ACC) we thought would be ruled by defending national champions Clemson and these Seminoles and Cardinals. Now it suddenly seems like the ACC could be won by #8 Miami, who edged talented Cat Georgia Tech by a point in Week 7 in the Sunshine State, or maybe Virginia Tech. With FSU 6½-point chalks and choppy themselves after an Injury to QB Deondre Francois, passing on this ACC showdown seems smart.

 

4. Old Dominion 1-5 ATS (Last Week: Not Ranked)

Conference USA East Division side Old Dominion (2-4 SU, 1-5 ATS) makes the Ratty cut after losing at Marshall, 35-3 in Week 7 and the Monarchs (-12.7 ppg vs ATS) have L4 straight ATS this season and 5 in a row ATS dating back to their (first-ever) Bowl game against Eastern Michigan last year. Eleventh-year Head coach Bobby Wilder (8-20 ATS) and Old Dominion welcome Western Kentucky to Norfolk on Friday night in what will be a sold-out (58 straight Home sellouts) Foreman Field (AstroTurf) for a meeting which now sees the Hilltoppers as high as 10-point Favorites (Bovada) after opening at 8 on Sunday despite their own poor performance ATS (1-4-1). Last year in this game in Bowling Green, KY, Old Dominion were crushed, 59-24 (WKU -15½) and Sharps betting this one early obviously believe the Hilltoppers trample the Monarchs here.

The Trends show ODU, still fairly new to FBS, to be 0-3 ATS against WKU, losing by 35, 25 and 15 in three very high-scoring games (83, 85, 117 points). So it has been, “Welcome to the big league you butterflies, now time to get spanked like an FCS side.” The Monarchs have lost by 32 (MARS), 30 (FAU), 38 (VT) and 30 (NC) after winning their first two games against FCS Albany (31-17, ODU -19½) and UMass (ODU 17-7, ODU -3½). The early money (on WKU) seems like “smart money” here.


5. Rice 1-5 ATS (Last Week: Not Ranked)

Rice (1-5 SU/ATS) makes the cut this week despite not even playing last weekend and despite how poor some other teams like FSU (0-3-2 ATS), Bowling Green (1-6 ATS), Charlotte (1-5 ATS), UConn (1-5 ATS), Miami Ohio (1-6 ATS), Troy (1-5 ATS), Tennessee (1-5 ATS), Coastal Carolina (1-5 ATS), USC (1-5 ATS) and North Carolina (1-5 ATS) have performed against the betting number, with the Owls -10.4 ppg vs ATS, tied for last (with SJS) in TO Margin (-2.00) and allowing 36.3 ppg (#114) under 1th-year Head Coach David Bailiff (66-47-2 ATS), Rice slides in at #5.

In Week 6, Rice was boiled by Army, 49-12 at Home, losing by 37 as 14-point Underdogs, its 4th straight ATS Loss. Not cool. And when you score 3, 7, 10 and 12, it’s obvious this Conference USA team is a bit TD-challenged. Rice wisely returns to play this Saturday at UTSA in Week 8 in a Road game which currently sees the host Roadrunners as huge 21½-point Favorites (+108, Pinnacle), up from an opening 18½ (BetOnline). UTSA is a profitable 4-1 ATS the L5 in this Conference USA series.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Western Kentucky -9½ over Old Dominion Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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