Buffalo vs. Toledo Prediction, Picks & Odds Week 10: Snowy Conditions Should Stifle Offense
The Toledo Rockets host the Buffalo Bulls for the second game of the MAC's Halloween doubleheader on Tuesday as we make the best Buffalo vs. Toledo prediction based on the best college football odds.
The Buffalo Bulls have secured two consecutive wins with a margin of 18 or more points and have won three of their last four games. They currently allow an average of 390.1 yards per game, and they are about to face an offense that averages over 440 yards per contest. In the MAC East, Buffalo is one game behind the Miami (OH) RedHawks, holding a 3-1 record in conference play.
On the other hand, the Toledo Rockets have recorded seven consecutive wins after losing their season opener 30-28 against the Illinois Fighting Illini. However, three of their last four victories, and three of their four conference wins, have been by seven points or fewer. Toledo is the sole undefeated team in MAC play and maintains a one-game lead over the Northern Illinois Huskies in the West division.
To accompany our college football Week 10 predictions, here is our best Buffalo vs. Toledo prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Buffalo vs. Toledo prediction: Week 10
Under 52.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Editor's note: It was snowing with blowing winds with less than an hour to go until kickoff in Toledo.
When you look at recent games for both of these teams, this number is surprising. The Bulls haven’t been part of a game with more than 50 points in it since Sept. 23. The last two Rockets’ games have finished with fewer than 40 points.
The Rockets can score with anyone in college football. Despite scoring 21 or fewer in their last two games, they’re still averaging 29.7 per game, which is 45th in college football.
The Bulls’ defense is in a lot of trouble this week, but we still like this game to go Under. The main reason is that the Rockets’ are a run-first team and the Bulls have a bad run defense. While the Rockets are going to amass plenty of yards, they’re also going to shorten the game with long drives where the clock just keeps running.
The Bulls are averaging 24.3 points per game, but they’ve only gone Over 24 points in one of their conference games thus far. The Rockets are allowing just 22.6 points per contest, and they’ve allowed just 23 points in their last two games combined.
In conclusion, there's a probability exceeding 50% for snowfall on Tuesday night, and even without adverse weather conditions, the preference is for the Under in this scenario. However, if the playing field is impacted by inclement weather, the appeal of this choice is further heightened, making it a particularly attractive option.
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Buffalo vs. Toledo best odds
bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.5 | Under 52.5 | Under 52.5 | Under 52.5 | Under 52.5 |
| -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
All of our best sports betting apps are offering the same total for the same price. If you’re looking to parlay the Under with the spread, you won’t find any additional value at any of the sportsbooks, as the spread is the same everywhere as well.
Our advice is to get in on this wager as soon as possible. Nearly three-quarters of the betting public is backing the Under. With snow expected to fall today and tomorrow, this number is going to drop.
Buffalo vs. Toledo odds
Buffalo vs. Toledo odds analysis
The Rockets opened as 13.5-point favorites, and despite 80% of wagers backing the Bulls, the spread has grown to 15.5 points. It seems that oddsmakers are content with ignoring public sentiment, but we don’t imagine this spread will grow to 17.
As for the total, the number opened at 52.5 points and that is where it has stayed. At this time, 73% of bettors back the Under. Weather is supposed to be a factor with snowy conditions possible during the game. Because of that, we’d expect to see this number drop a little but never as far as 50.
Buffalo vs. Toledo game info
- When: Tuesday, Oct. 31 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
- How to watch: ESPN2
- Weather: 28 degrees, 7-mph winds, 55% chance of precipitation
Buffalo vs. Toledo prediction made 10/30/2023 at 1:20 p.m. ET.
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