Boise State vs New Mexico - Week 6 NCAA Football Free Picks

Boise St. Broncos player

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 7:07 PM GMT

Our college football betting expert is coming off a 10-1 week. Go inside to read his revealing preview article on Friday’s game between Boise State and New Mexico.

 10-1 ATS Week 5 for SBR College Football Guru

Ross Benjamin of Sportsbook Review once again has shown why he’s among the best sports handicappers in the world. He went an off the charts 10-1 ATS with his college football week 5 predictions.

 College Football Week 6 Betting Odds: Boise State vs. New Mexico

#19 Boise State will be seeking big time revenge against New Mexico on Friday night. The opening kickoff from University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico is slated for 9:00 PM ET. Furthermore, this contest will be televised by the CBS Sports Network.

New Mexico pulled off a monumental 31-24 upset as a 31.0-point underdog at Boise State a season ago. It marked the first win in 7 tries against Boise State for New Mexico. Nevertheless, since 2011, they’ve covered all 5 of their contests versus the Broncos. However, it must be noted, the average point spread in those contests was New Mexico +30.0.

Current (10/3) college football odds at BetOnline has Boise State as a 17.0-point road favorite, and there’s a total of 60.0. BetOnline is widely regarded as one of the top online betting sites. Be sure to take advantage of the 50% cash bonuses that BetOnline is presently offering for all new customers.

 Strength of Schedule Disparity Favors Broncos

During their 4-0 start, the Boise State Broncos have faced two PAC 12 teams, opened the year at UL-Lafayette, and last week faced a solid Mountain West Conference opponent in Utah State.

Conversely, New Mexico is 2-2 thus far, and has faced far inferior opposition compared to their upcoming opponent. The Lobos 2 wins came against the likes of South Dakota (1-3), and then last Saturday’s less than inspiring 48-41 home victory as a 10.5-point home favorite over San Jose State (1-4). They’ve also lost at Rutgers (2-3) by a score of 37-28, and were a 32-31 upset victim of New Mexico State (2-3) as an 11.0-point home favorite.

 

Lobos Triple Option Offense versus Broncos Stout run Defense

When New Mexico’s offense takes the field on Friday night, something certainly has to give. The Lobos are averaging a hefty 347 yards rushing per game while working out of their triple-option rushing attack. Nonetheless, they’re about to face a Boise State defense that’s allowed 96 yards or less on the ground in each of its first 4 games.

Based on Boise State facing a better level of competition to this point, I’ll predict their defense will at least be able to neutralize New Mexico’s potent rushing attack, and hold them well below its lofty season average.

Keep in mind, New Mexico has a less than average passing attack, and if they fall behind by a couple of scores or more in the 4th quarter, their options on how to come from behind are very limited.

 Final Take and Pick

You can certainly make the case that Boise State hasn’t yet played its best game. The combinations of revenge, superior athleticism, and strength of schedule all heavily favor the Broncos in this contest. With that being said, my lean is on the road favorite for one of my college football week 6 picks.

 

Free College Football Pick: Boise State -17
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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