Bloody Mary Report: Big Ten Beckons With Early Value Bets

Willie Bee

Friday, November 3, 2017 2:05 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 3, 2017 2:05 PM UTC

A big portion of Saturday’s early college football betting card takes place in the Big Ten, starting with a huge collision between Michigan State and Penn State.

We spent the early portion a Saturday slate in Big Ten Country a few weeks ago, and the Bloody Mary’s were so good, decided to return this week. Our first stop is Spartans Bar & Grill in East Lansing, site of the biggest game in the conference this weekend between Michigan State and Penn State. FOX handles broadcast chores for the noon (et) boot and Bookmaker has the Nittany Lions giving up 9, other shops forcing their backers to lay 9½, with 47-47½ for the total.

The matchup essentially eliminated the loser from any chance of an appearance in the Big Ten Championship. Even with a victory, Penn State’s odds to sneak into the title tilt through the back door are long after falling short in an upset bid last week in Columbus. Ohio State stuffed Saquon Barkley and the Nittany Lion ground game in the comeback, and exposed flaws in James Franklin’s defensive unit. Michigan State is coming off an upset road loss of its own at Northwestern that dropped the Spartans out of the College Football Playoffs. The 39-31 triple-overtime defeat Buckeyes might have been due in part to Mark Dantonio’s group looking past the Wildcats and to this battle with Penn State with a trip to Ohio State next week.

Chilly and damp is the forecast, the thermometer hanging in the mis-40s most of the game with a 70% chance of afternoon showers and a 12-15 mph right-to-left blow for offenses heading south to north. The favorite has covered the last six meetings, but I see value on the underdogs.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187484, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,19,169,83], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 Wisconsin Puts Perfect Record On Line At Indiana

We travel southeast for our next free college football pick and belly up at the Hoosier Saloon for the battle between Indiana and Wisconsin. The Badgers are favored by 13½-14 for the noon (ET) clash which can be seen on ABC, totals ranging from 48 to 49.

Wisconsin’s weak schedule is behind their No. 9 slot in the initial CFP Poll despite being 8-0. The Badgers remain in excellent shape, however, for the conference title game and can easily move into playoff contention as long as they keep winning. Leading rusher Jonathan Taylor is questionable with a leg injury this week, but then, so is Hoosiers QB Peyton Ramsey. Afternoon highs in Bloomington will reach the mid-60s with a 40% chance of rain and light southeasterly breeze. I’m laying the points on the Badgers.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187485, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,19,169,83], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 Boilermakers Big Chalk To Beat Illini

From Bloomington, we head north about 120 miles to West Lafayette for the final stop on our early Saturday value crawl as the Purdue Boilermakers entertain the Illinois Fighting Illini. The dregs of the Big Ten West come in with just one league dubya between them, and Purdue is 2 TD favorites on the NCAA football odds to keep the Illini winless, 48-49 for the total.

We’re looking at pretty much the same weather at Ross-Ade Stadium as Bloomington, only a little cooler and a slightly better chance for rain. Underdogs have grabbed the cash seven of the last nine encounters, and that’s the way I’ll play this year’s matchup.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187487, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,19,169,83], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

Free College Football Picks: Michigan State +9½; Wisconsin -13½; Illinois +14
comment here