Big 12 Week 8 Overview: TCU Welcomes an Oklahoma Hangover

Monday, October 15, 2018 2:57 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 15, 2018 2:57 PM UTC

TCU is focused on ending the nation's longest road winning streak. Read why they have a good shot to do so, and check out our quick take on Kansas at Texas Tech on the light Big 12 Week 8 schedule.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">Big 12 Spotlight: No. 9 Oklahoma (-7.5) at TCU</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, noon ET (ABC)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: TCU ATS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=Bookmaker" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bookmaker</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3449017, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1275,169,19,1096], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Oklahoma (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) returns to action after a bye week following a 48-45 last-second defeat to Texas as a 14-point favorite in the Red River Showdown last time out. It has been quite a hangover tasting defeat to their rivals in the past for those in Norman. The Sooners are 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS since 1985 following a loss in the contest. They are failing to cover a -2.8 average line by a whopping 18.2 points per game.</p><p>Head coach Lincoln Riley sports the most efficient offense in the country when factoring in games against FBS opponents only. Oklahoma picks up 0.798 points and 8.7 yards per play, both tops in the nation.</p><p><a href="" title="Free NCAAF Picks">Where the Sooners get in trouble</a> in the betting market is up against poor passing teams. The defense, which yields 7.8 yards per passing attempt, can make the most derelict of air attacks look professional. Since the start of last season, Oklahoma is 1-6-1 ATS when squaring off against a team averaging fewer than 238 passing yards per game. It yields 27.0 points per clash, and has allowed all but one opponent to surpass its projected team total. The Sooners are 7-3 ATS in all other games in this span.</p><p>TCU (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) enters with a balanced attack offensively, but the passing game is weak comparatively. The Horned Frogs average 231.4 yards on 36.2 attempts. The biggest issue with longtime head coach Gary Patterson’s squad is the fact it is its own worst enemy, giving the ball away an average 3.0 times per game. Only California coughs up more turnovers (3.4).</p><p>The Horned Frogs have claimed just one victory in the last eight meetings, despite seven of them going off with a single-digit line. The average score is 34.1 to 24.1 in favor of Oklahoma. The Sooners have been able to jump out to a big lead in most cases, outscoring the Horned Frogs 24.8 to 12.0 in the first half.</p><p>TCU has scored 16, 17, and 14 points in the last three games, despite accruing more total yards than its opponents (360.6 to 306). Sixteen penalties and 10 turnovers have aided in the Horned Frogs going 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in this stretch. Expect better against the Sooners. Turnovers are unpredictable and tend to revert to the mean when moving into outlier territory where TCU stands now. The passing game will be able to exploit a week Oklahoma secondary and gain much-needed confidence. TCU covers the number on the <a href="" title="Live NCAAF Odds">college football odds board</a>, and possibly upends the nation's longest road winning streak.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Back at it next week.&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#RoadWarriors&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#OUDNA&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;October 13, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 style="text-align:center">Around the Big 12 (Game On Saturday)</h2><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Kansas at Texas Tech (-20.5)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET, on FS1:</strong> Kansas (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) is 0-21 SU and 6-13-2 ATS in its last 21 road games against Big 12 competition. The Jayhawks are losing by 31.3 points per game. Can they take advantage of Texas Tech (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) possibly celebrating its big win over TCU last week? Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury is just 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS following an outright underdog win in his career. Nonetheless, he’s beating Kansas by a 47.6 to 19.0 average score line in his career.</p>
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