Big 12 Week 6 Overview: Iowa State & Oklahoma State To Light it Up

Monday, October 1, 2018 9:05 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 1, 2018 9:05 PM UTC

The points always stack up when Oklahoma State kicks off a home favorite, as is the case this week against Iowa State. Here are our thoughts and free pick on that game and all the Big 12 action Saturday. 

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">Big 12 Spotlight: Iowa State at No. 25 Oklahoma State (-10)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Picks: Iowa State +10.5 and 'Over'</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Lines Offered: <a href=";book=Heritage" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Heritage</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448906, "sportsbooksIds":[169,93,1096,1275,999991], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Iowa State (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) allowed TCU to kick a game-winning field goal with 37 seconds remaining to fall 17-14 to the Horned Frogs on Saturday. It wraps up a string of tough competition for the Cyclones, who have played the second-toughest schedule in the country behind No. 3 Ohio State.</p><p>Head coach Matt Campbell’s offense is historically bad to begin the year. The program currently owns its lowest yards-per-game average (299.4) since 2003 when the team tallied just 297.5 a tilt. The passing game is anemic. It tossed for a measly 79 yards in the TCU defeat, its fewest since a 73-yard output in a 24-13 loss as 2.5-point underdogs at Texas Tech in 2012.</p><p>For the Cyclones to put points on the board, they rely on star running back David Montgomery, who is questionable with an unspecified upper-body injury for the Oklahoma State (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS ) clash. “There’s no player that I would want to be on the field more than that guy,” Campbell told reporters about Montgomery’s status for the weekend. “We’re just going to have to play it day by day and see what it is.”</p><p>The Cowboys, meanwhile, got back on track Saturday, trouncing Kansas 48-28 in Lawrence. The rout came on the heels of coach Mike Gundy’s worst defeat as a home favorite in his career, losing to Texas Tech 41-17 despite gifting 12 points on the <a href="" title="Live NCAAF Odds">college football oddsboard</a>.</p><p>Gundy’s high-powered offense showed more maturity and balance against the Jayhawks. Running back Justice Hill carried the ball 31 times for 189 yards, the second-most in his career. Whether the Cowboys can establish the run against an Iowa State defense yielding 3.2 opponent yards per rush will be telling for spread bettors.</p><p>Defensively, Oklahoma State lives and dies on its pass rush, making up for a young, inexperienced secondary. Its 24 sacks lead the nation by a huge margin over Ohio State (19). Injuries, however, are testing the front’s depth with four starters out last week, including outside linebacker Calvin Brundage (leg) and defensive tackle Darrion Daniels (finger).</p><p>In-the-know bettors have made a mint over the years betting the "over" when Gundy’s Cowboys kick off favorites in Stillwater. The bet is an astonishing 43-17 2 (71.7 percent) since the veteran coach took over in 2005. The average combined score is 67.4 points. Look for the trend to continue here. The Cyclones have squared off against some of the tougher defenses in the nation (TCU, Iowa, Oklahoma) and will produce at their highest levels against a porous Oklahoma State squad. Campbell’s men threaten a win as will. Take the points and back the "over" for your best bets in your <a href="" title="Free NCAAF Picks">college football picks</a>.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Four sacks for the &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#OKState&lt;/a&gt; defense today! &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Cowboy Football (@CowboyFB) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;September 29, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2 style="text-align:center">Around The Big 12 (All Games Saturday)</h2><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">No. 7 Oklahoma (-7.5) vs No. 19 Texas</a>, noon ET, at Dallas: </strong>The Red River Showdown has finished within a touchdown in each of the last four meetings. Texas (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) is 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS catching points in ranked matchups since 2006.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Kansas at No. 9 West Virginia (-29)</a>, noon ET, on ESPN2:</strong> Dana Holgorsen’s West Virginia (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) averages 44.0 points per game in six matchups against Kansas (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS), putting up 56 in a 22-point blowout win last season. The Jayhawks, meanwhile, are 0-20 SU and 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 road Big-12 contests, losing by an average 32.1 points.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Kansas State at Baylor (-4.5)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET, on FS1: </strong>Baylor (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games as home chalk, coming up 12.9 points shy of a -21.7 average line. The Bears, in fact, are winless straight-up in all four matchups kicking off with a line within a touchdown in this span. Legendary head coach Bill Snyder, meanwhile, is 21-9-1 ATS as a road pup during his second stint at Kansas State (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS). He is 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS when catching less than 5.5 points on the NCAAF oddsboard in this situation.</p>
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