Big 12 Week 3 Overview: Oklahoma's Offense Rolls into Iowa State

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, September 11, 2018 12:59 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 11, 2018 12:59 PM UTC

No. 5 Oklahoma has generated more than 1,100 yards in two games and now seeks to avenge last year's loss to Iowa State. Also, No. 24 Oklahoma State hosts Boise State, and No. 15 TCU hosts No. 4 Ohio State.

Big 12 Spotlight: No. 5 Oklahoma at Iowa StateSaturday, noon ETFree NCAAF Pick: OverBest Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Oklahoma (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) seeks to avenge a 38-31 home defeat to Iowa State (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) as a 29-point favorite in 2017. The loss equaled a 41-38 defeat to Texas Tech in 2011, also laying 29 points, as the program's most lopsided in the betting market in modern history; the Sooners whipped the Red Raiders 41-20 the following season.

Head coach Lincoln Riley’s offense is moving the ball at will, scoring 112 points and totaling 1,135 yards through its first two games. QB Kyler Murray was named Big 12 Offensive Player and the Walter Camp Football Foundation National Offensive Player of the Week following his five-touchdown performance in a 49-21 win over UCLA. Expect more of the same in its Big-12 opener. The Sooners average 44 points or more against conference opponents in each of the last three seasons.

The Cyclones are coming off a leather-helmet effort in a 13-3 defeat at Iowa, their only outing of the young season following the weather cancellation of the opener against South Dakota State. The offense managed just 188 yards, 19 on the ground via 25 carries. They’ll have to do a lot better to stand a chance at pulling off the upset, or even covering the number. Since 2006, Oklahoma is 67-9 SU and 56-17-3 (76.7 percent) when holding opponents to fewer than 120 rushing yards.

Lean the Sooners ATS, but be careful. Head coach Matt Campbell is 5-2-1 ATS against ranked opponents, knocking off three outright despite going off an average 13.3 underdog. Pick the "over" as your best bet. The wager is 18-3 in Oklahoma’s last 21 road contests as the betting favorite, a 71.4 final score easily surpassing a 62.2 average total by 9.1 points per game. Projected score: Sooners 45-24.

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1️⃣9️⃣-for-3️⃣3️⃣
3️⃣0️⃣6️⃣ passing yards
5️⃣ total TDs@TheKylerMurray the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week.

🔗 https://t.co/xnMlKOg22Y pic.twitter.com/dF5gSsWjus

— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) September 10, 2018
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Around the Big 12 (All Games Saturday)

Rutgers at Kansas (-3), noon ET: Kansas (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) picked up its first road victory since 2009 with a 31-7 romp over Central Michigan last Saturday. In this span, it is 9-3 SU and 6-6 ATS at home against opponents averaging fewer than 22.5 points per game the prior season. Rutgers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) averaged 18.0 per game last season. Expect a two-game Jayhawks win streak for the first time since 2011.

Duke at Baylor (-2), 3:30 p.m. ET, on FS1: The "over" is 10-1 since 2006 when Baylor (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) kicks off in Waco with a single-digit line and posting more points per game on the year than its opponents. The Bears put up 46.0 per game to 27.5 for Duke (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS).

No. 14 West Virginia (-3.5) at N.C. State, 3:30 p.m. ET: The "under" is 9-1 when West Virginia (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) goes off a road favorite of a touchdown or less against Power 5 opponents under head coach Dana Holgorsen. The Mountaineers have failed to reach their team total in eight contests, falling a whopping 14.1 points per game under projections. Don’t be shocked if QB Will Grier and Co. struggle.

No. 17 Boise State at No. 24 Oklahoma State (-3), 3:30 p.m. ET: Since 2008, the average combined score in 15 ranked matchups at Boone Pickens Stadium with Mike Gundy leading Oklahoma State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) is 77.0 points. The "over" has cashed in 11 by a 8.2 average margin.

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Back under the lights next week! #okstate #GoPokes pic.twitter.com/Z0vxRqJL6l

— Cowboy Football (@CowboyFB) September 10, 2018
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Texas San Antonio at Kansas State (-21.5), 4 p.m. ET: Kansas State (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) is 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS against C-USA opponents all-time, posting a 24.9 average margin of victory. They have covered the spread in all six laying double digits on the college football oddsboard.

Houston at Texas Tech (-3), 4:15 p.m. ET, on FOX: Since 1980, Texas Tech (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) is 12-6-1 ATS in the series, covering seven of the last eight altogether.

No. 4 Ohio State (-12) at No. 15 TCU, 8 p.m. ET, on ABC: TCU (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) is 5-7 SU and 10-2 ATS behind head coach Gary Patterson as a double-digit underdog, topping an average 16.5 line by 13.3 points per game.

No. 22 USC at Texas (-3), 8 p.m. ET, on FOX: Texas (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) has dropped its last five straight against Pac-12 foes, allowing 34.4 points per game. This includes a 27-24 double-overtime loss to USC last season. The Longhorns are going off a 7.4 underdog in this span.

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