The college football season seemed way too short -- Here are some special props for your college football picks. There are a whopping 40 bowl games this year, starting Saturday.
One thing to keep in mind here is that the College Football Playoff championship game isn't considered a bowl -- the semifinals are bowl games -- so any results there wouldn't count toward any totals. I'd also recommend for game-by-game bets to back a coach with a successful bowl history, not a team. Ohio State's Urban Meyer, for example, is 9-2 straight up in bowls in his career and the same record against the spread on college football odds. Michigan State's Mark Dantonio is 6-3 ATS in his bowl career. Might want to steer clear of backing Arizona (Rich Rodriguez 2-7 ATS in his bowl history), Baylor (Art Briles 3-7 ATS), Kansas State (Bill Snyder 5-11 ATS), Louisville (Bobby Petrino 2-6 ATS), Notre Dame (Brian Kelly 2-6 ATS) and San Diego State (Rocky Long 2-7 ATS). Let's see the college football picks that we have:
Will There Be Overtime In Any Game?
Yes is -350 and no +225. With 40 games, it seems almost impossible at least one won't go to overtime. Last year there were three: Memphis over BYU 55-48 in double overtime in the Miami Beach Bowl; Penn State beating Boston College 31-30 in overtime in the Pinstripe Bowl; and Wisconsin over Auburn 34-31 in OT in the Outback Bowl.
College Football Pick: Yes. You can also bet at +120 there will be a double-overtime game. I'd take that too.
Will There Be A Shutout In Any Game?
There has to be at least one, right? Well, oddsmakers disagree as no is -400 and yes +250. This is an offensive era and it's tough to shut teams out -- plus kickers are much better these days. Whereas in the regular season a team down 38-0 in the final minute might try for a touchdown, that same coach likely at least kicks a field goal in a bowl game so as to not have the negativity of a shutout carryover into the offseason. I could see a shutout perhaps in the Citrus Bowl between Michigan and Florida, two of the best defenses in college football. The Gators allowed only 16.5 points per game this season and Wolverines 17.2. That has the lowest point total of any game at over/under 41. There were no shutouts in last year's bowl games. The fewest points scored were 3 by Nevada (loss to UL Lafayette) and Ole Miss (loss to TCU). From the best I can tell, the last bowl shutout was the Jan. 9, 2012, BCS title game when Alabama beat LSU 21-0.
College Football Pick: Yes. It's overdue.
Will There Be At Least a 37-Point Margin In A Game?
Yes is -150 and no +120 at Bovada. A rather arbitrary number. The two biggest bowl wins last year were by 39 points: Oregon beating Florida State 59-20 in the Rose Bowl semifinal, and TCU 42-3 over Ole Miss in the Chick-fil-A Bowl. The biggest betting favorite this year is Virginia Tech at -13.5 over Tulsa in the Independence Bowl. Virginia Tech the top favorite? Huh.
College Football Pick: Yes.
Will There Be A Total Of 100 Or More Points Scored In A Game?
Yes is -155 and no +115. My eyes go right to that Alamo Bowl between high-powered Oregon and TCU. The total in that one is 78.5. Two bowls last year went over 100 points: Memphis beating BYU 55-48 in double OT in the Miami Beach Bowl, and Toledo over Arkansas State 63-44 the GoDaddy.com Bowl.
College Football Pick: No.
Bowl Wins For SEC Teams
The total is 6.5, with 'over' at -130 and 'under' -110. Is the SEC still college football's best conference? I'd say deepest, but the Big Ten was clearly superior at the top with Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State and Michigan. Maybe none of those four beats Alabama, but they handle every other SEC team. The SEC has 10 bowl teams this year and eight are favored. The two that aren't are Texas A&M +1 vs. Louisville and Florida +4 vs. Michigan. The Aggies were favored until they started losing quarterbacks to transfer. Last year the SEC went 7-5 in bowl games.
College Football Pick: 'Over.' Alabama, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Georgia, Arkansas, Mississippi State and LSU all win at a minimum.
Bowl Wins For Big 12 Teams
The total here is only 3.5, with the 'over' at +178 and the 'under' -215. Last year, the Big 12 was only 2-5. It has seven teams in again. Big 12 teams played some laughable non-conference schedules this season. They went a combined 16-6 vs. FBS teams out of conference. Oklahoma State, Texas Tech and Kansas State are all pretty significant underdogs. TCU and West Virginia could be dogs by kickoff of their games against Oregon and Arizona State, respectively. The only current favorites from the Big 12 are Oklahoma over Clemson and Baylor over North Carolina.
College Football Pick: 'Under.' They might all lose.