The generous College Football handicappers at SBR share valuable insight for you to apply to the Week 14 battle between Stanford Cardinal and UCLA Bruins.
Handicapper Matt Jordan:
Bruins will cover the spread with ease and look ahead to possibly ruining Oregon's national title hopes. Could a two-loss UCLA get into the College Football Playoff? Not impossible but some help is needed.
The Bruins opened as 4.5-point favorites and that number seems too low. Sportsbooks apparently haven't noticed that this is the worst Stanford team in a few years at 6-5. The Cardinal have lost all five games vs. ranked teams this season. UCLA wins the Pac-12 South and faces Oregon next week in the conference title game with a victory.
Sportsbooks have UCLA as a short favorite yet have a fairly high total of 50 against with the Bruins facing a Stanford defense that still ranks seventh nationally in allowing 16.5 points per game? Curious. The Cardinal did play pretty well defensively against good offensive teams like USC and Arizona State. Of course, the Bruins have scored at least 30 points in five of their past six games. I lean under for this College Football Pick. It has gone under in five of the past six meetings at UCLA.
Free College Football Pick: UCLA -5.5 at 5Dimes & Under 50
Handicapper Ross Benjamin:
The point-spread in this game should tell you everything. You have a 9-2 UCLA team playing at home, versus a 6-5 opponent, and they're currently just a 4.5 point favorite. This one has upset written all over it in my eyes, and it wouldn't shock me in the least if that's what occurs. However, I'll take the points as an additional bonus. It's Stanford plus the points over UCLA.
I've already alluded to Stanford's defensive prowess. With the exception of the Oregon game, the Cardinal stop unit has been outstanding. The most overlooked aspect of the UCLA Bruins successful season has been a steady, but not spectacular defense. College football betting history over the last 5-years for teams in this exact situation strongly supports a lower scoring game. I have a very small lean on going under the number in this contest.
This has been historically a huge let down spot for UCLA. The Bruins have gone just 5-9 in their last 14 following their annaul game versus USC, and that includes 1-5 ATS in the following contest after defeating the Trojans. However, that was then, and this is now. UCLA enters this regular season finale on a 5-game winning streak.
It's been a down year for the Stanford Cardinal considering the precent they've set for thmselves in recent years. They're a mediocre 6-5 on the season, including 2-3 straight up, and 1-4 ATS on the road. Although 3 of their 5-losses this season have come by exactly 3-points. Part of the fall to mediocrity can be attributed to their -6 turnover differential on the season. Strangely enough, this will be only the 2nd time they've been installed as an underdog all season long.
Stanford has gone under the total in 8 of their 10-games versus FBS opponents this season. They've also held 9 of their first 11 opponents to 20-points or less. The Cardinal has seen 4 of their 5 on the road stay under the number with an average of 43.2 points combined per game scored. UCLA has seen each of their 4 conference home games stay under the total. It's not so much those were all low scoring games, and more contributed to an average total of 67.5 in those contests.
Free College Football Pick: Stanford +5 BookMaker
Handicapper Jeff Grant:
The visitor will be motivated in trying to capture its first win against a ranked foe this year, which makes the betting total playable due to Stanford falling short of it in eight of its last 10 contests.
Stanford is considered a dangerous underdog on the road due to its five losses this season coming against top-25 teams, while it has captured the last six games in this series. UCLA has become a dark horse candidate of landing one of the four spots in the upcoming college football playoff, as its rattled off five consecutive wins due to quarterback Brett Hundley’s tremendous play.
The Cardinal have held opponents to 20 or fewer points in 30 of their past 39 games, which has also transferred over to this rivalry—holding the Bruins under that figure in five of the last six meetings.
Free College Football Pick: Under
Handicapper Dave Lawrence:
If this matchup was earlier in the year, I'd say Stanford would have a better shot but as it is, UCLA, playing their best ball of the year, I will ride with them.
Stanford has a six-game winning streak versus UCLA but it looks like this is the year it ends. UCLA only has to worry about the trenches here as the skill positions are in their favor. As long as they don't get worked over in the trenches, they'll win and cover. Considering how they played in the trench last week, it's hard to see them losing. This is a team that struggled early but is playing it's best ball of the season right now. With motivation on their side to end the losing streak, they should be fired up for this one.
This is a game that's going to be won or lost in the trenches, so I expect a lot of running and pounding away. Not a ton of weapons on both sides that make this an explosive affair. I would lean under the highest total offered in College Football odds.
Free College Football Pick: UCLA -5 & Under