Championship Weekend is here, with eight titles to be handed out along with eight more games that will complete regular seasons. For those betting college football, there are crazy decisions to be made. Here's some undredog guidance.
From wagering perspective, this can be rather unsettling week because a lot is at stake and how a bunch of young guys will handle the pressure is always a little nerve-wracking. When perusing the college football odds at A+ rated BetOnline, I found three contests in which the underdog has a legitimate shot to win outright.
K-State Corrals Horned Frogs (-4)
If Kansas State can win this game in Fort Worth, it would finish alone in 4th place in the Big 12, with coach Bill Snyder defying the odds again. The Wildcats are hardly impressive, with no passing game and the 119th-ranked pass defense, but they go old school just like their coach and are 29th in rushing and 10th in stopping the run. Snyder always has them prepared. K-State is 11-2 ATS after tallying 31 or more points in two straight games. It has been a rollercoaster ride for TCU fans, up one week and down the next. That has been the case on both offense and defense, which is really maddening. To make matters worse, the Horned Frogs are crushing backers with a 0-6 ATS home record, which makes Kansas State a pretty attractive +170 moneyline play for college football picks.
Temple Looks to Slow Navy (-3)
This AAC Championship Game, hosted by Navy, is right near the top of most interesting contests, based on differences. The Navy option offense is steamrolling opponents and is averaging 49.1 points per game since losing to the Air Force on Oct. 1. The Midshipmen's offense will not move the ball on every defense, however, Temple has only given up 23 points in the past four games. Granted, the Owls have not faced any offense like Navy's, but they did hold Houston potent crew to 24 points in last year's AAC title tilt. Temple is on an 11-0 ATS run, will certainly throw the ball against the Middies' 107th-ranked pass defense and could engineer the upset.
Big Ten Title Tilt Could Go Either Way
Preseason expectations for Penn State and Wisconsin were rather dull. The Nittany Lions were dismissed after Michigan mauled them 49-10, and the Badgers had their toughest schedule in decades. Penn State gathered itself, upset Ohio State and enters this contest on 8-0 and 7-1 ATS roll. Wisconsin embraced the challenge, lost tight games to the Wolverines and Buckeyes and handled everyone else. Wisconsin has the better defense, but by not as much as most will think and the Penn State offense has averaged 46.4 PPG since Ohio State contest. The Nittany Lions can make this happen as 3-point dogs on college football picks for the Big Ten Championship Game in Indianapolis.
Doug's Season Record For These Upset Plays: (26-20-1 ATS)