Better Than We Thought? What We Learned In Week 3 Of Betting College Football

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, September 20, 2016 1:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 20, 2016 1:35 PM UTC

It was a wild day for those betting college football and like every week, there were lessons to be learned, some that are less costly than others if you know what I mean. 

Let's look at what it meant when looking back at the college football odds and what it could mean looking ahead.


Now You See It, Know You Don't
If bet money on either Alabama or Mississippi, it was in the words of Dick Vitale, a "Maalox Masher". When Ole Miss was up 24-3 and whatever side of the 10 points you were on, you had to think this was close to over, until it was not. Over the next 27 minutes and 19 seconds of game action, the Tide rolled, outscoring the Rebels 45-6, taking a 48-30 lead, with only 5:28 remaining. With Alabama's defense, Mississippi completely deflated, again, this game was finished, until it was not. Somehow, Ole Miss tallied two touchdowns eight seconds apart and stole the cover and that was finally it.

LSU thoroughly dominated Mississippi State, leading 23-3 at the half and even held a 23-6 lead after three-quarters as 13-point home favorites at places like You Wager ( sweet bonuses). But this is the new LSU, one that seldom plays hard for 60 minutes and they let up and the Bulldogs stayed tenacious, outscoring the Tigers 14-0 in final 15 minutes to get the cover and not unexpectedly, LSU fell to 2-12-1 ATS in SEC home openers.


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Better Than We Thought (Or Was Opponent Overrated?)
There were four very important televised tilts and each gave us an indication on what we should think about the future and make college football predictions about particular teams.

The day started with Louisville's complete demolition of Florida State. There was not one aspect the Cardinals did not own, decidedly, and while the announcers were trying to keep viewers saying the Seminoles know how to deal with adversity, our eyes told us a different story. Louisville still has road dates at Clemson and at Houston.

Lighting in the Norman, OK area delayed the start of Buckeyes and Sooners, but it was Oklahoma who played thunderstruck. Ohio State answered every question, is oozing with talent that is just getting experienced and I cannot already wait for Michigan matchup. We don't think Urban Meyer's club will just waltz through the regular season, but this contest did prove one thing, J.T. Barrett is far cooler and collected than Baker Mayfield. The Buckeyes are loaded!

Michigan State had many questions about them coming to South Bend and all they did was beat the snot out of Notre Dame at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. The Spartans were WAY more physical than the less than fighting Irish and played with far more discipline. Notre Dame could be looking at 8-4 campaign.

Stanford was hardly impressive against Kansas State but played much crisper against USC. It was Cardinal football, they gave up some yards on defense, but once the Trojans got to Stanford 40, it was like they dug a five-yard moat sideline to sideline, as they clamped down on USC offense. On offense, it was third and short frequently and with RB Christian McCaffrey, it was methodical performance, which we have come to expect from David Shaw coached teams. USC does not seem to be able to get the ball to playmakers. Stanford at UCLA this week, should be telling.

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