Bet Virginia Road Cover vs. Virginia Tech for College Football

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, November 26, 2014 8:15 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 26, 2014 8:15 PM GMT

This Friday night’s ACC matchup has a lot more on the line than just the regional bragging rights that go along with this annual matchup. Find out who we like for our college football picks in this rivalry. 

Virginia (-1) vs. Virginia Tech 8:00 ET
Each of these teams enters at 5-6 SU, meaning the winner of this game becomes eligible for a post-season party, while the other one spends the holidays at home.  Of greater importance to the future of these programs is if either of these coaches survives this game. 

Legendary Virginia Tech Head Coach Beamer has been at the helm of the Hokies’ program for 28 years.  It was as recent as 2011 that the program went 11-3 SU, using an outstanding defense that allowed just 18 PPG and 305 YPG to dominate opponents.  Along with the highly respected special teams’ play of Beamer, Tech had become a perennial Top 20 team.  That, however, was the year in which they became overrated.  Since the beginning of 2011, Beamer’s Hokies are now on a 15-33 ATS slide.  Though they have made it to a Bowl game in each of the 2 previous seasons, that is clearly in jeopardy this season.  A microcosm of their decline came last week in their matchup vs. lowly Wake Forest, a team who was 2-8 SU overall and 0-6 SU in ACC play.  When the smoke cleared, these two teams had battled to a scoreless tie in regulation with Wake Forest becoming the eventual 6-3 winner in double OT.  A look at this year’s stats shows us clearly that a running game that had previously averaged around 200 RYPG is now averaging just 137/3.6.  The Hokies gain less than 5.0 YP play, while allowing more than 5.0 YP play.  In short, the decline is for real.

Over in Charlottesville, the coaching life of 5th year HC London is clearly on the line as well.  In 4 previous years, London had gone 18-31 SU, 15-29 ATS.  Win totals had declined from 8 to 4 to 2 victories.  With 16 RS, 2014 has become an ultimatum year for London.  Last week’s game against Miami, FLA is certainly a start in the right direction.  Virginia outrushed the Hurricanes 195-64 and romping to a 30-13 SU victory to keep their post-season dreams alive.  These have clearly taken a huge hit.  As entering that contest, UVA was on a 0-4 SU slide, following their 4-2 SU beginning.  Now, the Cavaliers play for their post-season life and the job of HC London.   

If history has any say in the matter, HC London will be in the unemployment line next week.  For, VA Tech has won this rivalry game 10 consecutive years.  When making your college football picks it's never easy to buck that type of history in a rivalry contest, but the reality is that Virginia is the better football team at this point in time.  Good enough to break the series’ stranglehold emerge with a victory and send well-loved Hokies HC Beamer into retirement.  

College Football Pick: Virginia -1 on college football odds at 5Dimes

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