Bet 'Under' for Illinois vs. Ohio State Big Ten NCAAF Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, October 29, 2014 2:30 PM GMT

Ohio State’s talented signal-caller is banged up heading into a matchup against Illinois, which makes the UNDER an attractive college football pick in Columbus.

Back in the Win Column
Illinois has split its two games since starting quarterback Wes Lunt went down with a leg injury on Oct. 4, as it looks to build on a 28-24 victory over the Minnesota Golden Gophers as 3.5-point home underdogs last Saturday, but losing the statistical battle for a fourth consecutive contest.

The Fighting Illini are 1-18 SU in their last 19 games against ranked opponents, which can’t be ignored when making your Week 10 college football picks, while Tim Beckman has dropped all 10 of his opportunities in that situation as a head coach.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS in true road games, with the OVER going 7-5 in those 12 opportunities.

 

Looking Ahead?
Ohio State is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS since suffering its only loss of the season to Virginia Tech Sept. 6, as it comes off a 31-24 overtime victory over the Penn State Nittany Lions as 14-point road favorites last Saturday.

The Buckeyes could certainly get caught looking ahead to their road game against Michigan State next week, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds, as the loser of that game will have no chance of landing one of four spots in the newly adopted playoff system.

Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the team is 7-0 SU and 4-3 ATS in November, with the UNDER going 4-3 in that situation.

 

Recent History
Beckman considers Buckeyes head coach Urban Meyer one of his mentors in the profession, as he worked as his defensive coordinator and assistant at Bowling Green from 1998-2004.

Illinois hasn’t fared well in this series the last two years despite that relationship, as it has been outscored by a considerable 112-57 margin—allowing 771 combined rushing yards in the process.

 

Limited Offensively?
There’s no question that Ohio State is simply looking to survive and advance before next week’s premiere matchup in the Big Ten Conference, which is why it should limit J.T. Barrett’s rush attempts.

The talented dual-threat signal-caller has done a remarkable job since Braxton Miller’s season-ending injury before the season, as he ranks first int he conference in averaging 306.7 yards per game in total offense.

Barrett is listed as questionable with a sprained MCL.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their top football picks, as the UNDER is 4-2 in the Buckeyes’ last six games in Weeks 10 through 13 since 2012.

College Football Pick:  Under 65.5 at Pinnacle Sports

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