Bet Texas Tech Over Texas With Thanksgiving College Football Picks

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 3:02 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 24, 2015 3:02 PM GMT

The Texas Tech Red Raiders & Texas Longhorns move to the Thanksgiving spotlight, as the season winds down. Both teams are playing for pride, let's check the college football odds.

Momentum
The Red Raiders and Longhorns are both coming off bye weeks, so they will be rested for this game and in position to put in a very strong effort.

Texas Tech’s most recent game was a 59-44 win over Kansas State in the team’s home finale. Senior Day was happy for the Red Raiders because quarterback Patrick Mahomes played well. A lot of things have gone wrong for the Red Raiders this season, but Mahomes is one of the things that’s right with Texas Tech. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury knows how to develop quarterbacks, but with Mahomes, it’s about a lot more than just being a good passer. He is agile. He has good pocket presence. He dances out of trouble. He feels the rush and knows how to burst through a running lane. He’s slippery and can evade tacklers in close proximity. He has a great sense for how the field changes when a play breaks down. He is better than most at being able to improvise and find receivers in the midst of chaos. He’s the main reason Texas Tech has been able to score as much as it has this season. The Red Raiders should feel confident with him at the controls in this game.

Texas is coming off a 38-20 loss at West Virginia. The Longhorns have an offense which simply gives back the ball too many times. Not nearly enough improvement has happened on offense for Texas to be able to be as competitive as it would like to be. The offense doesn’t threaten opponents, and it doesn’t do a particularly good job of wearing down defenses, either. There’s no real identity to the Texas offense, and until that changes, the defense will be overburdened.

 

Line Moves
The college football odds started with Texas as a 1-point favorite, but that line has moved up to 1.5 points for the Longhorns. There is simply a distrust of Texas Tech on the road, specifically of the Red Raiders’ defense, which has been porous all season long. Not being able to play this game in Lubbock is an important thing in the eyes of bettors, who don’t think Texas Tech has what it takes to be the better team in a 60-minute game.

 

Notable Injuries
Texas Tech has offensive lineman Justin Murphy listed as out for the season with a knee injury. Defensive back Derrick Dixon is out indefinitely for personal reasons. Defensive lineman Talor Nunez is out for the season with a knee injury. Linebacker Andre Ross left the team. Wide receiver Ian Sadler is out indefinitely with a knee injury. 

Texas has linebacker Dalton Santos listed as out for the season with an ankle injury. Running back D’Onta Foreman is questionable with a finger injury.

 

Handicapping The Game
If Texas faces a team which struggles to move the ball, the Longhorns can play a defensive game and win with field position. Texas Tech, though, is not that kind of team or that kind of offense. The Red Raiders don’t have to score 50. They can win this game if they score 35. Take Texas Tech with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Texas Tech +1.5 at Pinnacle

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