Bet Temple +11 vs. Penn State For Your NCAA Football Pick

Wednesday, November 12, 2014 4:54 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2014 4:54 PM UTC

Penn State has beaten in-state rival Temple 30 times in a row; not much of a rivalry, eh? But the Owls have covered the College Football odds pointspread in three of the last four meetings.

<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--> </style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe width="560" height="330" src="" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></span></p> <p><strong>Owls-Lions Betting Odds</strong><br /> Most of the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Check SBR's Live College Football Odds">College Football Betting Odds</a> opened Penn State at right around -10 over Temple, with an OVER/UNDER of 40; as of Wednesday morning most shops had bumped the Lions to -11, and dropped the total to 39.</p> <p>Those who think the Owls might pull the upset here could get a price of +355 on the moneyline at <a href=";book=in-article-bet-online" target="_blank" title="BetOnline">BetOnline</a>.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Owls-Lions: The Situation</strong><br /> Penn State, with 12 starters back from a team that went 7-5 last year, went off this season, its first under Coach Franklin, with a wins OVER/UNDER of 7.5. The Lions also began this season ineligible to play in a bowl, but that status was reversed, and at 5-4 SU (4-4-1 ATS) PSU now needs one win in its last three games – against Temple, Illinois and Michigan State - to become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2011.</p> <p>The Lions started 4-0 this season, including a tough 26-24 win over Central Florida in Dublin. But Penn State then lost four games in a row, falling 29-6 at home to Northwestern, 18-13 at Michigan, 31-24 in overtime at home to Ohio State and 20-19 at home against Maryland. Last week the Lions snapped that losing streak with a 13-7 victory at Indiana, pushing the spread as six-point road favorites. Penn State spotted the Hoosiers the first score of the game, then blanked them from there.</p> <p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Past NCAA Football Pick for Penn St. vs Indiana">The Lions outgained Indiana 330-221</a>. So after getting outgained and outrushed by the Wildcats, Wolverines and Buckeyes, Penn State has outgained and outrushed its last two opponents.</p> <p>On the other side of this match-up, Temple with 13 starters back from a team that went 2-10 last year, went off this season with a wins O/U of 3.5. So at 5-4 SU (5-4 ATS) the Owls have already played OVER their wins total, and need one victory in their last three games – against Penn State, Cincinnati and Tulane – to become bowl-eligible also for the first time since 2011.</p> <p>Temple opened this season, its second under Coach Rhule (a former Penn State linebacker), with a 37-7 victory at Vanderbilt, winning outright as an eight-point road dog. The Owls then lost to Navy 31-24, but then won three straight games, over Delaware State, Connecticut and Tulsa. Temple then lost at Houston 31-10 and at Central Florida 34-14, but upset East Carolina 20-10 as nine-point home dogs. Last week the Owls lost to Memphis 16-13 but covered again, as seven-point home underdogs.</p> <p>Temple led the Tigers last week 10-0 early, but eventually lost on a field goal on the last play of the game. <a href="" target="_blank" title="Memphis vs. Temple Week 11 NCAAF Predictions">The Owls outrushed Memphis 158-82</a>, but had a punt blocked, leading to one Tigers score, muffed a punt in their own red zone, which led to another Tigers score, threw an interception in the Memphis red zone and missed a 37-yard field goal.</p> <p>Temple has been outgained in its last four games, and outrushed in three of those four contests.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Owls-Lions: A Quick History</strong><br /> Penn State has beaten Temple 30 times in a row; the last time the Owls beat the Lions came six weeks before Pearl Harbor got bombed. Most recently Penn State beat Temple two seasons ago 24-13, covering as a seven-point favorite. But in the three meetings prior to that the Owls covered as 30-point dogs in 2009 (a 31-6 defeat), as 13-point dogs in 2010 (22-13) and as seven-point dogs in 2011 (14-10).</p> <p>Also, the last six meetings in this series, going back to 2007, have played UNDER on the totals.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Owls-Lions Betting Trends</strong><br /> These two teams are a combined 6-12 on the totals this season. Temple games have averaged 46 points, while Penn State games have averaged just 37 points.</p> <p>The Owls are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games, and 6-0 ATS in their last six games as double-digit underdogs.</p> <p>Penn State is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as double-digit chalk.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Owls-Lions Free Pick</strong><br /> Statistically speaking, Penn State holds edges on both offense and defense, but at the moment the Lions don't look like a team that should be favored by double-digits over anybody. And in what could very well turn out to be a low-scoring affair 10-plus points might come in handy. So we choose Temple as our <a href="" target="_blank" title="Free NCAA Football Picks">Free College Football Pick</a>, plus the points.</p> <p><strong>Free College Football Pick:</strong> Owls +11 at <a href=";book=inarticlepinnacle" target="_blank" title="Bet at Pinnacle Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a></p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src=";timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id= 294405" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p>
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