Bet TCU Home Cover Over Texas Tech for College Football Picks

Willie Bee

Wednesday, October 22, 2014 12:00 PM GMT

Currently the highest-ranked team in the Big 12, TCU looks to build off a dominating win as big favorites on the college football odds this week vs. Texas Tech.

If we are to believe that every 1-loss team remains in the college football playoff chase, then TCU still has a shot. Considering the schedule that Gary Patterson and the Horned Frogs have left, they may have more than just a shot and could wind up the most attractive squad to emerge from the Big 12 once the dust clears in early December.

Texas Christian can inch a little closer to that ending with a win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders at home Saturday. The big FOX begins its coverage of the clash at 3:30 PM (ET), and the Horned Frogs are pronounced 22½ point favorites, that spread up a safety since the openers went out. SBR's live NCAA football odds have a unanimous 70½ for the scoreboard tally.

Saturday marks the 57th meeting in a series that dates to 1926. Tortilla Tech, er, Texas Tech owns a 36-23-3 advantage in the rivalry and has won both get-togethers since TCU joined the Big 12 a couple of seasons back. The Red Raiders covered both of those victories, both times as small underdogs, and the totals split with a scoreboard-bustin' 56-53 affair in 2012 followed by last year's 20-10 final.

 

Tech Needs Big Upset to Climb Back to .500
Kliff Kingsbury may still top the most eligible bachelor among Division-I head coaches, but none of that has translated into much success this season on the gridiron. The Red Raiders just halted a 4-game skid with a 34-21 victory vs. Kansas, enough of a margin to just cover the 12 point spread and needing a 4th-quarter score to get that done.

The high-octane offense is still there, Texas Tech ranked 21st in the country with a 489 YPG average and is 10th in passing yards (330 ypg), but there has been very little help on the defensive side of the ball. The Red Raiders have proven very susceptible to the run (237 ypg, 119th nationally) and are in the bottom 25 surrendering nearly 37 PPG.

Texas Tech will also reach Ft. Worth with a long list of walking wounded, headlined by top receiver Jakeem Grant suffering a laceration to his chin after a melee broke out at a 'krunkness party' that was off campus. I thought 'krunk' went out 20 years ago; regardless, Kingsbury is hopeful Grant can play.

Bradley Marquez, who ranks second behind Grant in receptions and receiving yards and first with seven touchdown catches, is questionable with injured ribs. The Raiders are also thin in the defensive backfield with starting free safety doubtful due to a concussion and his backup, Josh Keys, was kicked off the team this week for disciplinary reasons.

 

Frogs Bounce Back From Tough Loss to Baylor
The Horned Frogs deserve a huge round of applause for the they bounced back from a very demoralizing defeat at the hands of Baylor two weeks ago. Texas Christian came out strong against Oklahoma State, building a 21-3 first-quarter lead en route to a dominating 42-9 victory. Patterson singled out his defense, particularly the DB's, in the win.

“I’m proud of them,” Patterson said at his weekly news conference. “To come back, not give up a touchdown pass -- a touchdown, period -- shows how they were and how they play together.”

Strong defense has been TCU's trademark under Patterson, but the offense has come around this season to give the Frogs a more balanced team. Trevone Boykin and his pals have increased their total yards per game by nearly 193 from 2013, and scoring has also risen by more than 20 points per game.

The current weather forecast calls more something more like early-summer than late-October. An afternoon high approaching or reaching 90º is in the mix under sunny skies and with just a light breeze from the south end of Amon G. Carter Stadium.

A perfect 6-0 vs. the spread this season, this is the largest number TCU has been asked to cover in conference play, as well as the highest total for a Horned Frogs game. Let's go with the season flow with a free college football pick on the Froggies.

College football pick: TCU -22.5 at 5Dimes
Season: 35-26-1 (+6.40)

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