Bet TCU -5.5 over Kansas State for College Football Pick

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 4, 2014 2:11 PM GMT

This College Football handicapper has gone an excellent 24-9 (72.7%) with his free picks right here at SBR and shares his prediction for Saturday's game between Kansas State and TCU. 

Huge Big 12 Showdown
The #7 TCU Horned Frogs will play host to the #9 Kansas State Wildcats on Saturday at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. The game will be televised by Fox and the opening kickoff is slated for 7:30 PM ET. According to the College Football odds, TCU is a 5.5 point favorite, and there was no posted total at the time of this writing. Since joining the Big 12, the Horned Frogs have gone 0-2 versus Kansas State.

 

College Football Playoff Elimination Game
Both of these teams are on the periphery regarding the top four in the latest college football committee ratings. Each team enters this game with an identical 7-1 record. It’s highly unlikely that any of the 4-teams who will be vying for the National Championship on New Year’s Day will have 2-losses. Thus, whatever team loses this contest will be eliminated for consideration, barring a bizarre sequence of events.

 

Flying under the Radar
The Kansas State Wildcats have quietly gone about their business this season without much acclaim. However, here we are in the 2nd Saturday of November, and they have a realistic chance of contending for a national championship if they win out. It certainly won’t be an easy task starting with this road tilt versus an excellent TCU team. They also have road games remaining at #13 Baylor and in Morgantown versus #20 West Virginia. One thing that can be rest assured, if they win these remaining 4-games they’ll definitely receive serious consideration to be part of the 4-team playoff.

 

TCU Alive after a Dramatic win
The TCU Horned Frogs kept their national championship aspirations alive with a thrilling 31-30 road win versus a very good West Virginia team last Saturday. TCU trailed 30-28 when they received a game winning 37-yard field goal from Jaden Oberkom, and it came with just 0:04 seconds remaining in the 4th quarter. This is an explosive Horned Frogs offense that’s scored 30-points or more in each of their first 8-games. Unlike the schedule of their upcoming opponent, this is the toughest game remaining on the TCU schedule. The final 3 opponents Kansas, Texas, and Iowa State are a combined 7-18 so far in 2014, including 3-13 in Big 12 Conference play.

 

Final Analysis
I have a lot of respect for veteran head coach Bill Snyder of Kansas St. However, the Horned Frogs Gary Patterson is one of the most underrated head coaches in the country. I’m going to lean on one of my stellar betting systems to aid me in making my College Football pick in this high profile game.

Any favorite of 3.5 to 10.0 points, coming off 2 straight wins versus conference opponents, versus an opponent coming off 3 straight wins versus conference opponents, has gone 42-16 ATS (72.4%) since 1992.

Free College Football Pick: TCU -5.5 over Kansas State at 5Dimes