Bet Oklahoma -13 over Texas in NCAAF Red River Rivalry

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, October 7, 2014 12:16 PM GMT

The Oklahoma Sooners have never dropped back-to-back regular season games under Bob Stoops, which makes them an attractive against-the-spread pick in the Red River Rivalry.

Competitive 
Texas ranks 21st in the country in allowing just 19.2 points per game, which is important to consider when making Week 7 free  picks, but the team has still dropped three of its last four contests.

The Longhorns’ defense was expected to be the program’s strength under first-year head coach Charlie Strong—clearly demonstrated in holding the Baylor Bears without an offensive touchdown for the first 38 minutes of last week’s 28-7 setback as 13.5-point home underdogs.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 1-4 SUATS when receiving 10.5 to 21 points, with the 'under' going 4-1 in that situation.

 

Bounce-Back Bob
Oklahoma has won 10 straight rematch games against opponents that defeated the team the prior season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football odds, as it also has gone 31-0 in the regular season following a loss under Stoops.

The Sooners were out-gained by just eight yards in suffering a 37-33 defeat to the TCU Horned Frogs as 3.5-point road favorites last Saturday, while going over the betting total for the fourth time in five affairs.

College football handicappers will find that the program is 7-3 SU and 2-8 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2012.

 

Taking Care Of the Football
Tyrone Swoopes has directed the Longhorns’ offense the last four games, but he must do a better job of protecting the football against top competition, as he was picked off twice and fumbled once against the Bears in Week 6.

Swoopes has some weapons around him, with Jaxon Shipley and John Harris having 29 and 26 catches respectively, while Malcolm Brown and Johnathan Gray have rushed for 547 combined yards.

 

Dominating Lesser Competition
The Sooners have won 22 of their last 23 games versus unranked teams, while the Longhorns have compiled a disappointing 4-17 SU record against top-25 opponents since 2010.

Oklahoma has proven victorious in its last 16 affairs when holding opponents to 24 or fewer points, which could lead to an easy victory versus a foe that has been held under that number in its last four contests.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Sooners as one of their top College Football picks, as they’ve gone 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games following a SU loss.

Free College Football Pick:  Oklahoma Sooners -14 at Pinnacle Sports

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