Bet Notre Dame +2.5 vs. Arizona State for NCAAF Picks

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 2:28 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014 2:28 PM UTC

In a game that might have something to say about who makes this season's national championship playoff in January 7-1 Arizona State and 7-1 Notre Dame battle in Tempe Saturday afternoon; here's our take on this interesting non-conference contest, with a free college football pick thrown in, just for playing.

<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--> </style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></span></p> <p><b>Irish-Sun Devils Betting Odds</b><br /> Most books we consulted opened ASU at around -1 or -1.5, then bumped the Sun Devils to -2 and -2.5. Those who think Notre Dame might win this game straight-up could get +110 on the moneyline at 5Dimes, so keep track of SBR's <a href="">College Footbal betting odds</a> for this upcoming game. </p> <p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":294339, "sportsbooksIds":[19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p> <p><b>Irish-Sun Devils: The Situation</b><br /> Notre Dame went off this season getting odds of around <a href="" target="_blank" title="Which teams are we backing with out Title picks?">50/1 to win the national championship</a>, with a win OVER/UNDER of 7.5, mostly because it looked like the Irish were going to play one of the toughest schedules in the country. At 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS) the Irish need just one more victory to play "Over" their total, and they've been bet down to around 30/1 on most CFB championship boards.</p> <p>Notre Dame started 6-0 this season, beating the likes of Rice, Michigan, Purdue, Syracuse and North Carolina. The Irish also defeated Stanford 17-14 a few weeks ago on an Everett Golson touchdown pass on fourth down with a minute to go. They did, however, outgained the Cardinal 370-205. The Golden Domers then experienced some bad karma when they lost at defending national champion Florida State 31-27, getting a game-winning score negated by a questionable offensive pass interference call.</p> <p>Last week <a href="" target="_blank" title="Check out last week's Notre Dame vs Navy victory">Notre Dame bounced back with a 49-39 victory over Navy</a>, although it couldn't cover at -14. The Irish led that game 28-7 in the second quarter, later trailed 31-28, then had to fight like hell to come back and hang on for the victory. The Irish have outgained and outrushed six of eight opponents this season.</p> <p>Arizona State, meanwhile, went off this season getting <a href="" target="_blank" title="Preseason Pac-12 Conference Power Rankings">12/1 to win the Pac-12 championship</a>, also with a win OVER/UNDER of 7.5. At 7-1 SU (4-4 ATS) and with a half-game game lead in the Pac-12 South, the Sun Devils are now lined at 8/1 to win the Pac-12, and also only need one more victory to top their win total.</p> <p>ASU started 3-0 this season, but then lost at home to UCLA 62-27, as junior quarterback Mike Bercovici made his first start in place of the injured Taylor Kelly. But the Sun Devils then pulled back-to-back upsets, beating USC at the Coliseum 38-34 on a Hail Mary on the final play of the game, and stopping Stanford 26-10. Then they  won at Washington 24-10, and last week, with a little help in the form of a missed field goal in overtime, beat Utah 19-16. The Sun Devils did, however, outgain the Utes 444-241.</p> <p>So at 5-1 in conference play ASU leads the South Division by a half-game and a tiebreaker over the 5-2 Trojans. Arizona State has also outgained six of eight opponents, but only outrushed four of eight foes.</p> <p> </p> <p><b>Irish-Sun Devils: Not Much History, But …</b><br /> These teams have only met three times before, but last year they played a dandy down at JerryWorld in Arlington, a 37-34 Notre Dame victory. The Irish led by 11 late in the third quarter, allowed Arizona State to tie the score at 27-27 with eight minutes to go, then scored 10 points in a two-minute span, with help from an interception return for a touchdown, for the win and the cover as six-point underdogs.</p> <p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Take a look at past scores ">Notre Dame outrushed the Sun Devils that night</a> 145-65 and won time-of-possession by a 35/25 margin.</p> <p> </p> <p><b>Irish-Sun Devils Betting Trends</b></p> <p>Notre Dame is 17-2 SU and 11-7-1 ATS in games Golson has started.</p> <p>The Irish are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games at Pac-12 teams.</p> <p>Arizona State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games.</p> <p>These team are a combined 6-10 on the totals this season.</p> <p> </p> <p><b>Injury Update</b><br /> Notre Dame took a hit on defense last week when <a href="" target="_blank" title="Is the loss of Schmidt going to cause problems for the ND Defense?">linebacker and leading tackler Joe Schmidt suffered a dislocated ankle</a>; he's now done for the season. On the other side of the ball, Arizona quarterback Kelly missed three games with a foot injury, but has returned, albeit at a somewhat diminished level of play.</p> <p> </p> <p><b>Irish-Sun Devils Free Pick</b><br /> Arizona State owns an edge on offense, but Notre Dame, even after losing Schmidt, holds an advantage on defense. The key, however, will be Golson's play-making ability. He moves well, extends plays, and makes big throws; so we'll go with the Irish as our <a href="" target="_blank" title="Free College Football Picks">College Football Pick</a>, and they probably won't even need the points. </p> <p><b>Free College Football Pick:</b> Notre Dame +2.5 at Heritage</p>
comment here