Bet Michigan -2.0 over Northwestern for Week 10 NCAAF Picks

Monday, November 3, 2014 8:48 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 3, 2014 8:48 PM UTC

Ross Benjamin is a terrific 24-9 (72.7%) with his college football free picks this season at Sportsbook Review. Find out what he has to say about this upcoming match between Michigan and Northwestern. 

<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--> </style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe width="560" height="330" src="" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></span></p> <p><strong>Battle of Big 10 Disappointing Teams</strong><br /> The Northwestern Wildcats will play host to the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday at Ryan Field in Evanston, Illinois with the opening kickoff slated for 3:30 PM ET. According to the <a href="" target="_blank" title="College Football odds">College Football odds</a>, Michigan is a 2.0 point favorite, and there was no total posted at the time of this writing. Michigan has won each of the last 3 meetings between these teams, and 2 of the 3-games went over the total. The Wolverines have won each of their last 5-trips to Evanston.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Coming off a Stout Defensive Performance</strong><br /> Michigan is coming off a decisive 34-10 home win over Indiana, and covered easily as a 7.5-point favorite. The Wolverines defense was superb, holding the Hoosiers to just 191-yards of total offense, including a mere 24-yards passing. The defensive unit has been stellar for the better part of the season, holding opponents to 21.7 points, and 305-yards per game. They’ve been especially stout versus the run, allowing 116-yards per game, and just 3-.1 yards per rushing attempt. The contest versus Indiana also marked the 1st time in 9-games they were a plus differential in turnovers (+1). As a matter of fact, if you’re attempting to pinpoint a major contributor to Michigan’s 4-5 record this season, all you have to look at is their -13 turnover differential on the year.</p> <p style="text-align:center"><em style="text-align:center">Join our <a href="" target="_blank" title="SBR's College Football Handicapping Forum">College Football Handicapping Forum</a> to chat with fellow NCAAF bettors.</em></p> <p><strong>Wildcats have been Tame</strong><br /> Northwestern had high expectations entering this season. They were returning 17-starters from a team that went 5-7 a season ago, and saw 5 of those 7-losses come by 10-points or less. However, things have gone a bit sideways in 2014, and they enter this contest at 3-5 on the year. They were able to upset a very good Wisconsin team at home 20-14, but unfortunately since then have gone 0-3 SU&amp;ATS, and lost those contests by an average of 23.0 points per game. The low point of the season came in a 48-7 loss last week as a 3.0 point underdog at Iowa. They were held to only 179-yards of total offense in that loss, and that was 111 less than their previous season low. Northwestern has gone a dismal 1-3 at home this season versus FBS opponents.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Final Analysis</strong><br /> As I alluded to earlier, the Wolverines are coming off a momentum building 34-10 win. Northwestern has allowed 38-points or more in each of their previous 2-games. This sets up a solid betting system that I will use to my advantage when making my <a href="" target="_blank" title="College Football Pick">College Football pick</a> this week. Any road team (Michigan) that held their previous opponent to 14-points or less, versus an opponent which has allowed 31-points or more in each of their previous 2-games, has gone 69-30 ATS, (69.7%) during the past 5-seasons.</p> <p><strong>Free College Football Pick:</strong> Michigan -2.0 over Northwestern at <a href=";book=inarticlebookmaker" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="BookMaker Sportsbook">BookMaker</a></p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src=";timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id=294327" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p>
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