Bet Kansas +28 Over TCU for College Football Picks

Tuesday, November 11, 2014 9:23 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2014 9:23 PM UTC

TCU is not only in running for the Big 12 title and perhaps a spot in the national championship playoff, but it's also been the best team in college football to bet on this year, going 8-1 ATS. The Horned Frogs are four-touchdown favorites for their next gig, against Kansas Saturday afternoon in Lawrence.

<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!--td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;}--> </style> <span style="font-size:13px;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe width="560" height="330" src="" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></span></p> <p><strong>Frogs-'Hawks Betting Odds</strong><br /> Most <a href="" target="_blank" title="NCAA Football Live Odds">College Football Betting Odds</a> we sampled opened TCU at around -26 over Kansas, then had to bump the Frogs to -28. Those who believe in minor miracles could bet the Jayhawks to win this game outright getting +3000 (30/1) on the moneyline at 5Dimes.</p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src=";timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id= 294388" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p> <p><strong>Frogs-'Hawks: The Situation</strong><br /> TCU went off this season getting around 15/1 to win the Big 12, with a wins OVER/UNDER of eight. At 8-1 overall, 5-1 in conference play the Frogs are tied for first place in the Big 12, and need one win in their last three games to play OVER their total.</p> <p>TCU started 4-0 this season, including a 37-33 upset of Oklahoma. The Frogs then led Baylor by three touchdowns in the fourth quarter, but pissed that lead away and lost 61-58 on a Bears field goal at the buzzer. But since then TCU has won four more in a row, beating Oklahoma State 42-9, Texas Tech 82-27, West Virginia 31-30 and, last week, <a href="" target="_blank" title="Past TCU over Kansas State NCAAF Pick">Kansas State 41-20</a>.</p> <p>The Frogs outgained the Wildcats last week 553-410 and outrushed them 334-34, on their way to covering as seven-point home chalk.</p> <p>So since blowing that <a href="" target="_blank" title="What a Capper's Picks Were for Baylor vs. TCU">game against Baylor</a> a month ago TCU is 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, and has outgained those last four foes by an average of 233 yards per game.</p> <p>On the underdog side of this match-up, Kansas went off this season as a 100/1 shot to win the Big 12, wins a wins O/U of 3.5. At 3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS and 1-5 in conference play the Jayhawks will not win the Big 12, but they need just one more victory in their last three games – albeit against either TCU, Oklahoma or Kansas State – to play OVER their total.</p> <p>Kansas started this season 2-1, then lost to Texas and, somewhat surprisingly, <a href="" target="_blank" title="Charlie Weis Fired, any thoughts on this?">fired head coach Charlie Weis</a>. The Jayhawks then lost four more in a row, but went 2-2 ATS in the process. And last week Kansas put an end to its losing streak with a 34-14 victory over Iowa State, winning outright as two-point home dogs.</p> <p>The Jayhawks grabbed an early 24-0 lead over the Cyclones, saw that lead trimmed to 24-14, then iced the victory by scoring the last 10 points of the game. Kansas outgained ISU 514-373 and outrushed them 228-98.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Frogs-'Hawks Recent History</strong><br /> TCU has beaten Kansas each of the last two seasons, by scores of 20-6 and 27-17. But the Jayhawks covered the spread in both those games, first as dogs of +18 points, and last year at +24.</p> <p>The Frogs outgained Kansas last year 380-198 and rushed for 207 yards, but turned the ball over five times and had an interception returned for a touchdown. That's why TCU didn't cover the spread.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong><span style="font-size:13px">Frogs-'Hawks Betting Trends</span></strong><br /> <span style="font-size:13px">TCU is 6-3 on the totals this season, as Frogs games have averaged 69 points.</span></p> <p>Kansas is 2-7 on the totals, as Jayhawks games have averaged 48 points.</p> <p>Kansas is also just 4-45 SU, 19-30 in its last 49 Big 12 games.</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Frogs-'Hawks Free Pick</strong><br /> TCU is still playing for some big stakes, while Kansas is playing for pride. But we wonder if the Frogs might experience a bit of a letdown, after a big win at home last week over K-State. And the Jayhawks haven’t been as terrible as of late as a first glance might indicate. So while the possibility of an upset in this spot seems very slim, we like the home dog for our <a href="" target="_blank" title="College Football Picks">Free NCAA Football Pick</a>, plus the points.</p> <p><strong>Free College Football Pick:</strong> <a href=";book=inarticle5dimes" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Bet with 5Dimes Sportsbook">Kansas +28 at 5Dimes</a></p> <p> </p>
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