Bet Buffalo First Half Over Baylor College Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, September 9, 2014 4:24 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 9, 2014 4:24 PM UTC

The Baylor Bears have failed to cover the number in their last four road openers, which provides a revenge-minded Buffalo Bulls squad incredible value in the opening half Friday night.

Offensive Firepower
Baylor has scored 115 combined points in picking up a pair of home wins against SMU and Northwestern State to open up the 2014 season, which has placed the squad atop the Big 12 Conference in averaging 57.5 points and 647 yards per game.

The Bears may be without the services of Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Petty due to being listed as questionable with a back injury, which is important to consider when making your Week 3 college football picks, but backup quarterback Seth Russell has thrown for 562 yards and six touchdowns in playing in two games this year.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 4-0 SUATS as favorites of 31 or more points, with the OVER going 2-1-1 in that situation.


Buffalo suffered a 70-13 loss to Baylor as 28.5-point road underdogs in last year’s meeting, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds, but it’s important to point out that it was coming off an emotional setback on the road against the Ohio State Buckeyes.

The Bulls will be playing their first-ever home game broadcast on ESPN Friday, as they prepare to play their highest ranked opponent in the history of UB Stadium.  The school is 1-9 SU all-time against top 25 foes.

College football handicappers will find that the squad has covered its last two opportunities when receiving 31 or more points.


Playing Away From Waco
The Bears are 10-18 SU in true road games under seventh-year head coach Art Briles, but they’ve split their eight contests in that role over the previous two campaigns.  

Baylor has failed to cover the number in its last four road openers, but it has won the last two in straight-up fashion, including a 35-25 victory over the Kansas State Wildcats as 17-point favorites in 2013.


Licata is Capable 
Bulls quarterback Joe Licata was named the Mid-American East Division Offensive Player of the Week Monday, as he completed 35-of-50 passes for 401 yards and five touchdowns in a 47-39 loss to Army as three-point road underdogs last Saturday.

Buffalo has won eight straight home games with Licata starting under center—outscoring opponents by a 120-49 combined margin in the first half in those affairs.


I’m going to recommend that readers back the Bulls in the opening 30 minutes as one of their Week 3 college football picks, as the Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five opportunities as road favorites.

College Football Pick:  Buffalo Bulls First Half at 5Dimes

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