Best Value College Football Pick: Ohio State vs. Oregon

Jeff Grant

Monday, January 12, 2015 5:10 PM GMT

Monday, Jan. 12, 2015 5:10 PM GMT

Ohio State has never lost when getting points under its high-profile head coach, which provides it betting value against Oregon in the College Football Championship Game.

NCAAF Props Offered by:  5Dimes | BetOnline | Bovada | SportsInteraction | Bet365 Heritage

Oregon scores first -145 (best line bet365)
OhioSt scores first +145 (best line BOL)
Team to score first wins game -180 (best line Bovada)
Team to score first loses game +160 (best line SIA)
Longest TD scored o 62½ +105 (best line Heritage)
Longest TD scored u 62½ -115 (best line 5Dimes)
Game total odd -125 (best line bet365)
Game total even  +110 (best line 5Dimes)

 

Key Number
Ohio State has tied a school record by scoring 30-plus points in 12 consecutive games, which is important to consider when making your College Football picks, while its opponent Monday night has won all 36 of its contests when reaching that number over the last three seasons.

The Buckeyes rank in the top 10 nationally in scoring offense, total offense and rushing, while they’ve also put up 101 combined points in earning victories over Wisconsin and Alabama with No. 3 signal-caller Cardale Jones.

Sports bettors will find that the program is 17-2 SU and 12-6-1 ATS when playing teams with a winning record since the start of the 2012 campaign.

 

Cashing In
Oregon led the country in points off turnover margin at a figure of +141, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football odds, as every squad that finished with a +130 figure in that category has hoisted the national title trophy in the last 10 years.

The Ducks will need their talented freshman class to step up in a big way once again, as the group has accounted for 45.2 percent of its scoring in putting together a 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS record through 14 games.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team has gone 6-1 SUATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points.

 

Running Game
The Buckeyes ranked second among Power Five conference schools in gaining 163.9 yards per game on the ground in between the tackles—making Ezekiel Elliott one of the more important players to handicap in this matchup at AT&T Stadium.

Elliott is the first Ohio State running back to rush for 200-plus rushing yards in consecutive games, with those performances coming against top 10 rush defenses entering those affairs.

 

Does Experience Matter?
All eyes will be on Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota when this game kicks off, but it’s important to point out that signal-callers with 32 or more starts have dropped five of six national title games dating back to the previous BCS era.

Mariota has taken home the MVP award in all four postseason games in his career, while Oregon’s average margin of victory against ranked teams is 26.5 points a contest.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Buckeyes as their top NCAAF pick, as they’ve gone 5-0 SUATS as underdogs during the Urban Meyer era.

Free College Football Pick:  Ohio State Buckeyes +7 at Bovada

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