Best Over-Under Bets For Saturday’s Early College Football Games OF Week1

Mizzou Tigers

Jay Pryce

Friday, September 2, 2016 9:36 PM GMT

Friday, Sep. 2, 2016 9:36 PM GMT

Saturday's early College Football games have some totals that caught the eye of our betting expert, here are some of his favorite picks to get on your betting ticket and cash!

The first Saturday of the 2016 college football season sees some intriguing matchups. Here are some value plays on the total for the early kickoffs, including the Western Michigan at Northwestern, Hawaii at No. 7 Michigan, and Missouri at West Virginia contests.The current totals listed are as of Thursday.


Western Michigan vs Northwestern (-5)

Opening Total: 56
Current Total: 52

Western Michigan heads into Evanston, Il. with a better offense than some Big Ten units, and possibly Northwestern. Averaging 36.0 points per game last season, QB Zach Terrell returns as the top MAC signal-caller. Terrell tossed for 3,522 yards with a 67 percent completion percentage and 29 touchdowns in 2015. Fred Biletnikoff Award candidate Corey Davis also returns for his senior campaign, one of the most productive wide receivers in FBS history. Davis pulled in 90 passes for 1,436 yards in 2015. Northwestern senior corner Matthew Harris, a third-team All Big Ten player as a junior, is tasked with shutting Davis down, but he may not be up for the challenge. The Broncos star wideout is projected to go in one of the top three rounds in next year’s NFL Draft.

The Broncos have scored an average of 26.2 points when kicking off as less than double-digit dogs versus the Big 10. They’ve put up 19 or more in each of 10 contests in this situation, going 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS. Western Michigan is just 4-31 SU in their last 35 against the Power 5 conference, so if the Wildcats win, they’ll have to do a little better than the 19.5 points they averaged last season to top the trend.

The UNDER is 9-1 when Northwestern clashes with a MAC opponent behind head coach Pat Fitzgerald, however, scoring 22.7 and allowing 14.5 points. For what it’s worth, they are 9-1 SU and 2-8 ATS. Can the UNDER trend be bucked Saturday? Possibly. We’ll go against the line movement, and wait to see if it drops further into our favor.


Free NCAAF Pick: OVER 52
Best Line Offeredat Heritage

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Hawaii vs No. 7 Michigan (-40.5)

Opening Total: 52
Current Total: 54.5

Michigan played five home games last season against opponents averaging less than 40 points the prior year; the defense allowed a grand total of 30 points through 20 quarters. Including its 51-31 defeat to Cal in Australia to kick off college football’s 2016 season, Hawaii averages 18.6 points since the start of last year. Reaching double-digits on the scoreboard might be considered a minor victory in this matchup.

The concern here is if the travel-wearied Rainbow Warriors can hold the Wolverines from going over the total on its own. The 40.5-point spread is the largest between two teams from the FBS this weekend. With a light schedule, head coach Jim Harbaugh may keep the pedal to the metal to impress the College Football Playoff Committee. The power-running game will eat a bunch of the clock, though.


Free NCAAF Pick: UNDER 55
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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Missouri vs West Virginia (-10)

Opening Total: 54.5
Current Total: 51

Mizzou’s defense, which yielded a paltry 16.2 points per game last season, returns eight starters. One of the most talented and deep defensive lines in modern history anchors the unit. The team allowed 28 points or less in all but one game last season, and has not given up more than this number on the road in the last three years. If there is any defense capable of shutting down West Virginia’s hybrid air raid offense in Morgantown, it’s the Tigers.

Mizzou’s offense is believed to be better than the 13.6 points it averaged last season, but don’t expect miracles. Injuries have plagued West Virginia in the preseason, particularly on defense, but it will be fired up in front of the home crowd Milan Puskar Stadium is not the best venue for a new offense looking to find its groove. The Tigers D keeps this close and low scoring.

Free NCAAF Pick: UNDER 50.5
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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