Best Big Ten Coaches vs. Spread? Start Search in Wisconsin

Wednesday, June 27, 2018 5:01 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 27, 2018 5:01 PM UTC

Wisconsin’s Paul Chryst tops Big Ten head coaches in against-the-spread winning percentage. Check out his closest competition, as well as some betting situations to target among these football masterminds.

<h2>Paul Chryst, Wisconsin</h2><p>ATS Record: 25-15-1 (62.5 percent)<br />ATS Margin: 3.1<br />Avg. Line: -12.2</p><p>Just four years ago, Wisconsin’s football program was in disarray. Gary Andersen abruptly left to take on head coaching duties at Oregon State, two full seasons after Bret Bielema jumped ship to Arkansas. In hindsight, neither were a perfect fit. Athletic director Barry Alvarez, who guided Wisconsin’s football program for more than 15 years (1990-2005; 2012; 2014), needed a leader who could implement the blueprint he so successfully designed: play power football, recruit primarily the best players from in-state, and operate a thriving walk-on program. Paul Chryst, who from 2002-2011 served various coaching roles at the school, including offensive coordinator, tight end, and quarterbacks coach, proved the perfect fit.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"und\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/NationalSmileDay?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#NationalSmileDay&lt;/a&gt; 😁 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/wyyn2CVw6V\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/wyyn2CVw6V&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Wisconsin Football (@BadgerFootball) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/BadgerFootball/status/1002197461560123392?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;May 31, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Wisconsin is 34-7 SU and 25-15-1 ATS in Chryst’s tenure, tying Northwestern for the most ATS wins among Big Ten programs since 2015. Only Ohio State (35-5) owns a better straight-up winning percentage. Where Chryst has proven the most profitable is in true road games. The Badgers are 14-1 SU and 13-2 ATS in this spot, covering a -9.2 average line by 6.5 points per game. The defense is dominant, yielding 13.9 points per game. It has yet to surrender more than 24 points in any contest. Both failed covers came on the heels of explosive offensive outputs. In the losing efforts, Wisconsin put up 48 and 38 points in its prior outings, their most of any in this situation.</p><p>Another interesting fact is that <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/" title="Free NCAAF Picks">the run-happy Badgers are a perfect 23-0 SU (14-8-1 ATS) when squaring off against inefficient rush defenses</a> allowing more than 3.85 yards per carry. Chryst is 10-1-1 ATS in this situation when kicking off outside of Camp Randall Stadium.</p><p> </p><h2>James Franklin, Penn State</h2><p>ATS Record: 28-22-3 (56.0 percent)<br />ATS Margin: 2.9<br />Avg. Line: -7.2</p><p>Penn State sustained a pair of pedestrian 7-6 SU seasons in James Franklin’s first two years as head coach (2014, 2015). Since, it is 22-5 SU and 18-7-1 ATS, winning by an 18.2 average margin. <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/" title="NCAAF Odds">Where the Nittany Lions tend to outshine the betting market is against poorer teams as double-digit chalk</a>. Franklin, a fiery competitor, offers little mercy. They are 9-0 SU and 7-1-1 ATS when laying 10 points or more versus opponents owning a negative points differential, covering a -23.4 average line by a whopping 12.9 points per game. The average score is 49.3 to 13.0.</p><p> </p><h2>Mark Dantonio, Michigan State</h2><p>ATS Record: 78-65-2 (54.5)<br />ATS Margin: 0.6<br />Avg. Line: -7.1</p><p>Defense dominates in East Lansing under head coach Mark Dantonio. Since taking over in 2007, the Spartans allow 21.4 points per game. The most surrendered in any single season is 27.8 in 2016, a year in which coach admittedly struggled to adjust and stop the growing number of run-pass option plays faced. Where Dantonio shines against the spread is on the road against weaker offenses. Michigan State is 23-8 SU and 22-9 ATS away from home facing off against foes scoring fewer than 32.5 points per game. It covers a -4.5 average line by 3.96 points per game. The only year it suffered a losing cover rate in this span was the ill-fated 2016 season. The Spartans are 4-2 SU and ATS in neutral site contests under the same parameters. In either location, they are 7-1 ATS against ranked opponents, topping the number (5.4) by 7.1 points per game.</p>
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