Best Bets Against The Spread - College Football Week 9

Ross Benjamin

Friday, October 28, 2016 8:11 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 28, 2016 8:11 PM UTC

Ross Benjamin has gone a terrific 24-11 ATS (69%) over the past 4 plus weeks with his NCAAF picks. It would be highly advantageous for you to read this compelling betting article which details his 3 top picks.

 Miami-Ohio vs Eastern Michigan 3:30 PM ET

Miami started the season by losing their first 6 games. However, 4 of its last 5 defeats came by 10 points or less. They’ve also bounced back to win each of their previous 2 contests, and are coming off a 40-26 victory last Saturday at Bowling Green.

Eastern Michigan has been a nice story so far in 2016. The Eagles are off to a 5-3 start, and held their own in a 45-31 loss at nationally ranked Western Michigan in their previous game, before ultimately falling by a 45-31 score. However, being a favorite of a touchdown or more is unchartered waters for Eastern Michigan. They’ve been an underdog in 5 of 7 games versus FBS opponents this season, and haven’t been a favorite of greater than -2.0 all year. As a matter of fact, the last time they were a favorite by 3.5 or more against a FBS opponent was 10/1/2011. At the time of this writing (10/28), college football betting odds at Bookmaker shows Eastern Michigan as a 7.5-point favorite.

Any conference underdog of 3.5 to 10.0, possessing a win percentage of less than .800, and is coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a conference road game in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 15-0 ATS since 1996. The underdogs also won 10 of those 15 games outright.

Free College Football Pick: Miami-Ohio +7.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Nebraska vs Wisconsin 7:00 PM ET

Think about this for a second. We have an undefeated team playing in the second half of the season, and they’re more than a touchdown underdog against an opponent who’s lost twice. The best sportsbooks have set the trap, and don’t fall for it. Wisconsin’s only 2 losses this season have come against #6 Ohio State in overtime, and at #3 Michigan by a narrow 14-7 margin. The Badgers also own a win over a very good LSU team. Conversely, this will unequivocally be the toughest opponent that Nebraska has faced all year.

By the way, any conference favorite of 6.5 or more, playing in game 7 of the season or beyond, possessing win percentage of less than .800, and is facing an undefeated opponent, resulted in those favorites going 5-0 SU&ATS since 1980. Their average margin of victory was a decisive 23.2 points per game. This is certainly an extremely rare betting situation, and I’m jumping all over it for one of my college football week 9 picks.

Free College Football Pick: Wisconsin -8.0Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Boise State vs Wyoming 7:00 PM ET

This is a huge danger sport for the undefeated and #13 ranked Boise State Broncos. Playing a game in the high altitude of Laramie, Wyoming is always a challenging element to deal with for visiting teams. Additionally, facing a Cowboys team that enters this contest on a 3-game win streak makes it an even more strenuous chore. When scanning the current college football point spread for this contest, Boise State is pretty much a 13.5-point favorite across the board. I would be very much surprised if Wyoming doesn’t turn in an inspired and competitive effort. The sizable home underdog with a winning record is a terrific betting value from where I’m sitting.

Free College Football Pick: Wyoming +13.5Best Line Offered: at

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