Best Bets Against The Spread - College Football Picks For Late Saturday Games

Army Black Knights Players

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, September 24, 2016 4:03 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 24, 2016 4:03 PM UTC

Ross Benjamin is coming off a solid 5-3-1 ATS record with his college football week 3 picks. Get his 2 college football best picks on the Saturday night card by in this article.

Army vs Buffalo 7:00 PM ET
Army has flown a bit under the radar on their way to an impressive 3-0 SU&ATS start. The Cadets have won those contests by 28.0 points per game, and covered by an average of 28.7 points per contest. They’ve outrushed their first 3 opponents by a massive 246 (Temple), 256 (Rice), and 316 (UTEP) yards. What’s the most underrated aspect of Army’s game is their defensive unit. They’ve allowed a paltry 13.7 points and 269.7 yards per game.

Buffalo was hammered 38-14 at Nevada last week. The Bulls allowed Nevada to rush for a very sizable 352 yards, and average robust 5.5 yards per carry. Furthermore, Buffalo was upset by Albany (FCS) 22-16 as a 21.0-point home favorite in their only other game played.

Any away team (Army) that outrushed their opponents by 100 yards or more in each of their previous 3 games, versus an opponent (Buffalo) who allowed 5.5 yards or more per rushing attempt in its preceding contest, resulted in those away teams going 28-4 ATS (87.5%) since 2007. The away team's average point spread was -12.8, and they had a significant +21.9 point per game differential.


Free College Football Pick: Army -13.5 (-105)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage, who is currently offering a generous signup cash bonus of 50% on deposits of up to $250.

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Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee State 7:00 PM ET
This game falls into an extremely strong betting situation, and it will be a key element when making one of my college football week 4 predictions.

Middle Tennessee State is coming off a 41-21 win over Bowling Green last Saturday and easily covered as a 6.5-point favorite. At the time of this writing (9/23), college football betting odds at BetOnline lists Middle Tennessee State as a 4.5-point home favorite. The Blue Raiders will be facing a Louisiana Tech team that’s gone 14-8 over its previous 22 games.

Any conference home favorite of 5.0 or less (Middle Tennessee State), coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they scored 40 points or more, versus an opponent (Louisiana Tech) that’s won 18 or less of their previous 22 games, resulted in those home favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 2006.


Free College Football Pick: Middle Tennessee State -4.5
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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