Best ATS Bets for Your Week 5 College Football Picks

David Lawrence

Friday, October 2, 2015 10:27 PM GMT

The college football season is almost one-third over, as the calendar turns to October. What games on the large Saturday schedule offer the best opportunities for a successful bet with our college football picks? Here are the three on the card which seem to stand out the most.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
This is a game in which the main source of intrigue is that North Carolina has a quarterback controversy, whether or not anyone in the locker room or on the coaching staff wants to admit it. Marquise Williams is the number one quarterback, but he was ineffective last weekend against Delaware, and backup Mitch Trubisky was called upon to replace him Trubisky played really well and offered both structure and stability for the Tar Heels’ offense. Now, these quarterbacks exist on a very similar level. You have a situation in which Williams’ attention has been gained. If he is given the start, he is a lot more likely to play with a sense of urgency and determination. If he’s not supremely effective, Trubisky now knows that he can be the guy, and head coach Larry Fedora will not hesitate to put him in. This should give North Carolina enough offense to stay close to Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets should win this game because they have better offensive and defensive lines, but the Tar Heels seem to be in a position where they can stay close and beat the college football odds.

College Football Pick: North Carolina +7.5 at The Greek

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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans
The Spartans are dealing with a number of injuries on offense and defense. This is a team which already had two starters on defense out for the season much earlier in September. More recently, offensive lineman Jack Conklin and tight end Josiah Price went down with injuries. Conklin learned that his injury is not a season-ender, but he will miss this game. Michigan State is operating at several deficits, and even though Purdue is probably the single weakest team in the entire Big Ten, Michigan State is not in a position to play anything close to its best level of football. The Spartans struggled to put away Central Michigan at home. If they are missing key people at various positions on their offensive roster, in terms of both blockers and pass catchers, they are likely to muddle along on offense instead of easily overpowering Purdue. This game feels like it will have a final score of something in the area of 35-17. Michigan State won’t come close to losing, but it won’t beat the spread.

College Football Pick: Purdue +21.5 at bet365

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West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma Sooners
It’s true that West Virginia has not played any really good team yet. Georgia Southern comes from a smaller conference, the Sun Belt, and Maryland is a team which will be mediocre at best this season. What West Virginia has done thus far should not be seen as a sure sign that the Mountaineers will be great this season. However, West Virginia has executed cleanly on both offense and defense. The Mountaineers have been a lot less sloppy than Oklahoma has been this season. A touchdown feels like a lot of points to give to West Virginia. The Mountaineers will cover here, so take them with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: West Virginia +7 at William Hill

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