Best ACC Coach Against the Spread Likely to Surprise Everyone

Wednesday, June 20, 2018 2:46 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 20, 2018 2:46 PM UTC

Wake Forest’s Dave Clawson, Duke’s David Cutcliffe and Boston College’s Steve Addazio cover the spread more often than any other ACC football coach. Here’s a look at the numbers, including some betting situations that stand out the most.

<h2>Dave Clawson, Wake Forest</h2><ul> <li>ATS Record: 29-20-1 (59.2 percent)</li> <li>ATS Margin 2.27</li> <li>Avg. Line: 5.4</li></ul><p>In 2014, Clawson inherited a Wake Forest program suffering five straight losing seasons. The team was far removed from the one that claimed the ACC crown in 2006 under Jim Grobe. Clawson asked for patience in order to turn things around, and he got it. After struggling to consecutive 3-9 SU seasons, the Demon Deacons have played in a pair of bowl games, and expect a postseason matchup this year. They are eighth choice at <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow">+5000 odds to win the ACC championship at 5Dimes.</a></p><p>Despite the rebuild, Clawson has always kept Wake competitive and prepared. There were doubts when taking the role he could coach at the Power 5 level after an ill-fated season as offensive coordinator for Phillip Fulmer at Tennessee (2008). He won four conference championships at the mid-major and FCS levels, including at Fordham (2002), Richmond (2005, 2007) and Bowling Green (2013). In Winston-Salem, Clawson has never experienced a losing ATS season, going 6-6 or better each year. Overall, the <a href="">Deacs are 29-20-1 ATS </a>during his tenure, covering the number by 2.27 points per game.</p><p>Clawson has rewarded backers the most against ACC Atlantic rivals, despite a 6-18 straight up record. Wake is 17-7 ATS in these matchups, covering 14 of their last 17 since October 2015 by a 6.9-point average margin. The defense holds opponents to 25.3 points per game under these conditions, allowing just four to surpass their projected team total in the betting market.</p><p>Including his five seasons in charge of Bowling Green, Clawson is 66-46-2 ATS (58.9 percent) as an FBS head coach.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Dave Clawson on the 3-game suspension for expected starting quarterback Kendall Hinton and TE Thomas Cole from Wake Forest: &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Kyle Schass (@KyleSchass) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;June 15, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>David Cutcliffe, Duke</h2><ul> <li>ATS Record: 72-51-3 (58.5 percent)</li> <li>ATS Margin: 1.67</li> <li>Avg. Line: 1.9</li></ul><p>The college football world reveres Duke’s Cutcliffe as a coach’s coach. He’s mentored a host of inexperienced and junior coordinators, assistants, and staffers in the fine art of building a system; not just X’s and O’s on the field, but also how to run and manage the operations of a D-I football program. Unable to attract top athletes, Cutcliffe emphasizes heavily the day-to-day functions and mentoring of players to provide an edge and compete in a Power 5 conference.</p><p>This policy has also fostered consistency. Duke expects to compete for a bowl game invite each season. It invariably performs well in the betting market, too. In 12 years at the helm, Cutcliffe has sustained just two losing seasons against the spread: 2009 (5-7) and 2012 (6-7). <a href="">College football bettors</a> have profited every other year wagering the Blue Devils blindly on the number.</p><p>Cutcliffe excels in expected close games. When Duke kicks off with a spread dangling within 4 points, it is 18-10 SU and 19-9 ATS, covering by 5.0 points per game. If coming off a game in which the Blue Devils won or lost by single digits, the record swells to 16-3 SU and ATS, winning by an 8.2 average margin. This situation has come up each season. Keep your eyes open.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Head coaches must be just as good at coaching their assistant coaches as they are at coaching their players. David Cutcliffe &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Derek Jones (@dukecoachdj) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;February 21, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Steve Addazio, Boston College</h2><ul> <li>ATS Record: 33-28-2 (54.1 percent)</li> <li>ATS Margin: 0.67</li> <li>Avg. Line: 1.1</li></ul><p>Strong defenses keep scoring totals low, which often allows for teams catching points to sneak in under the number. This is the case with Boston College in the Adazzio era. The Eagles have covered the spread 54.1 percent of the time since the defensive specialist took charge in 2013; when underdogs on the oddsboard, the rate jumps to 58.8 percent. <a href="">Boston College is 20-14-2 ATS </a>in this spot, covering a 10.7 average line by 0.9 points per game. True road games are the most profitable for backers in this situation, going 11-4-1 ATS.</p><p>Another profitable angle for Eagles’ backers is to bet them when up against an opponent that scored 30 points or fewer in their previous outing. BC is 23-12 ATS, covering a 2.2 average line by 4.5 points per game. Opponents put up just 21.0 points per game.</p>
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