Beavers Stay Inside Spread in Thursday Pac-12 Tussle vs. Stanford

bryce love oregon state

Willie Bee

Monday, October 23, 2017 12:54 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 23, 2017 12:54 PM GMT

Two Pac-12 squads coming off their bye weeks tangle in a Thursday night matchup that finds the Stanford Cardinal heavily favored on the college football odds at Oregon State.

NCAAF Season Record: 20-25-1 (-5.50)

Free NCAAF Pick: Oregon State +23Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Plenty of unbeaten teams remain – eight, to be exact – to potentially make their way to the College Football Playoff, though we know the natural progression of schedules will whittle that list down to five at most by early December. That’s going to make it tough enough on 1-loss teams to possibly sneak into the mix, and 2-loss squads are definitely out of the conversation.

That doesn’t mean a 2-loss team can’t at least throw a wrench into the works by playing the role of spoiler. No. 20 Stanford is definitely on that list thanks to the Cardinal having three ranked 1-loss teams remaining on their schedule. Before they get to them, the Cardinal have a trip to Corvallis for a Thursday night matchup with the Oregon State Beavers, ESPN televising the 9 PM (ET) kickoff and Stanford laying 23 points at Bookmaker.

 

Beavers Mired In 5-Game Losing Streak

Coming out of a bye, Stanford is looking for its fifth consecutive win following back-to-back losses at USC and San Diego State. The Cardinal smoked Oregon two Saturdays ago, 49-7, to easily cover a -10½ closing line, the final just stopping short of a 56½-point total for the 3rd straight ‘under’ winner. The offense revolves around Bryce Love, the nation’s leading rusher with nearly 1,400 yards in seven games and averaging more than 10 yards a tote. The junior tailback suffered an ankle injury on his first carry of the second half vs. the Ducks, but is expected to play this week despite presently being listed as questionable.

Meanwhile in Corvallis, Oregon State takes the field looking to stop a 5-game skid. The Beavers have managed to cover the NCAA football odds the last two after dropping the cash in the first five games, and are coming off their best offensive performance in a 36-33 loss to Colorado. The offense had been very inconsistent since losing quarterback Jake Luton (back) at Washington State in mid-September, but the team still appears in disarray from Gary Andersen’s sudden departure as head coach earlier this month.

 

Rivalry Trends, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Having played each other regularly for 98 years, it’s Stanford with a 55-25 advantage in the rivalry, three more contests deadlocking. The Cardinal have beaten Oregon State seven consecutive seasons, covering six of those until the Beavers stayed within the spread last season when Stanford posted a 26-15 home decision. The ‘under’ has been the winning result two of the last three matchups at Reser Stadium.

Clear skies and temps in the mid-to-upper 50s are expected in Corvallis. A 100% Love would be looking at a 200+ yard game against this Oregon State defense, but an early lead could put him on the bench with the Cardinal still having Washington, Washington State and Notre Dame on the schedule. I’m going to take the points with my free college football pick as the Beavers generate enough offense to stay inside the number.

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