Badgers Will Rock Wolverines to Stay in Playoff Hunt

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, November 15, 2017 2:09 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 15, 2017 2:09 PM UTC

Undefeated Wisconsin takes on Big Ten rival Michigan in what should be a raucous affair at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison. Let’s check out the college football odds and see which side gets the cover on Saturday.

Free NCAAF Pick: Wisconsin -7½Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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No. 19 Michigan (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) at No. 5 Wisconsin (10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS)
  • Wisconsin is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 conference games.
  • Wisconsin is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games in November.
  • Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS versus Michigan over last seven contests in games at Madison.
  • Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Michigan is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.
  • Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan Wolverines had national championship aspirations heading into this season, but those hopes have been snuffed out with losses to Michigan State, as 13-point home favorites, and a few weeks later U-M felt the sting of a 42-13 drubbing by Penn State as 7½-point road underdogs. Michigan has not had it easy in Madison, losing four of the last seven contests straight up and amassing a woeful 1-6 mark against the number at Camp Randall Stadium. The Wolverines come into this one off the heels of a 35-10 road win over the Maryland Terrapins as 14½-point road chalk.

It’s safe to say there will be plenty of rabid Badgers fans rooting their team on against the visiting Wolverines and eyeballing a seat at the small table of four set for the College Football Playoff. But in order to solidify their reservation they have to keep on winning because right now they are ranked No. 5 in the nation behind Alabama, Miami, Oklahoma and Clemson. The college football odds say the Badgers are 7½-point favorites in this one, but that number has dropped since the opening line of Wisconsin -9-½.

While others see danger in that precipitous line drop, we see value. The Wolverines are a run-heavy offense, ranked 30th in the nation averaging almost 208 yards per game. But their passing attack is virtually impotent, averaging only 165 yards per game and tied for 112th. Their current starting QB Brandon Peters is not prone to mistakes but hardly prolific.

The Badgers are better through the air and even on the ground with the No. 3 rushing offense in the country. Wisconsin’s defense is rock solid, allowing a mere 13.4 PPG, and their offense is averaging over 36 points per game which places them 24th in all of college football. UW boasts too many weapons and a defense that won’t allow Michigan to control the tempo on the ground. Once the Badgers get up by a few touchdowns, the Wolverines will be forced to go to the air, which is not their strong suit. Lay the lumber and back the Badgers in your college football picks.

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