Back Spurrier in Battle Between South Carolina +6.5 vs. Florida

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 12, 2014 4:25 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 12, 2014 4:25 PM GMT

Steve Spurrier is always important to handicap when returning to The Swamp, which provides South Carolina betting value as road underdogs against Florida.

Down—But Not Out
South Carolina is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in its last four Southeastern Conference games, which is important to consider when making your Week 12 NCAA football picks, but it has been bowl eligible in each of the previous nine years under head coach Steve Spurrier.

The Gamecocks have won three of their last four meetings in this high-profile matchup, but they’ve captured just 13 of 14 all-time trips to Gainesville. Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 2-0 SUATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total.

 

A Major Turnaround
Florida is focused to win three games in a row for the first time during the 2014 season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA Football Betting Odds, as it has scored 30-plus points in consecutive SEC games for the first time since 2012.

The Gators are taking care of the football with freshman quarterback Treon Harris running the offense, as they’ve committed just one turnover in their last two games after giving it up 15 times in a prior stretch of four contests. Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the squad is 15-7 SU and 8-14 ATS as favorites.

 

Scoring Points
The Gamecocks are ahead of their record-setting mark of 443 points scored a season ago, as fifth-year senior Dylan Thompson has done a great job in taking over for the departed Connor Shaw under center.

Thompson is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 2,588 yards with 22 touchdowns and 10 interceptions—ranking third in the SEC and 26th in the county in averaging 285.1 yards in total offense per game.

 

Run the Ball
The Gators are averaging 206.1 yards per game on the ground, including a 418-yard effort two games back against the Georgia Bulldogs—the fifth-best single-game total in school history.

Florida simply wants to get this game to the fourth quarter and limit its mistakes, as it has compiled a 24-4 SU record when winning or tying the turnover battle, while South Carolina has been outscored by a 105-62 margin in the fourth quarter and overtime in 2014.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Gamecocks as one of their top Saturday football picks, as Spurrier has gone 10-3 ATS as an underdogs when playing off back-to-back losses.

College Football Pick: South Carolina Gamecocks +6.5 at 5Dimes

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