Back Home Favorite With College Football Pick in Texas Tech vs. Arkansas

David Lawrence

Thursday, September 17, 2015 12:28 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 17, 2015 12:28 PM UTC

We preview the Week 3 NCAAF matchup between Texas Tech and Arkansas to help you locate the best line to back with your College Football picks.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders went wild last week, but they did so against a UTEP team missing two starting safeties and therefore unable to do much about its pass defense. That same UTEP team played Arkansas a week earlier, and the Razorbacks scored 48 points. However, a week later, Arkansas couldn’t score very consistently. If you use UTEP as a common opponent for these two teams, you would conclude that Texas Tech has the better offense and Arkansas the slightly better defense. What does it mean for this game on Saturday, in week three of the season?


The Texas Tech Red Raiders certainly have to feel optimistic about their chances in this game. They just scored 69 points against a team from the FBS, not the lower-division FCS. That’s pretty strong. You can make all sorts of statements about the health of UTEP’s secondary, but you still have to execute very precisely to score 69 points in a game. Texas Tech hopes that it can score a lot, unlike the Toledo team which managed only 16 points against Arkansas last weekend. Texas Tech wants to get into a track meet here, while Arkansas wants to get into a bare-knuckle kind of game.

Speaking of Arkansas, the Hogs did slow down Toledo’s offense last weekend, playing the kind of game they wanted on defense. What’s more is that Arkansas did gain more than 500 yards on offense. The problem was that it simply could not finish any drives. The Razorbacks moved the ball between the 30-yard lines but couldn’t do anything when they began to get in scoring range. That frustrating experience could create various viewpoints among bettors trying to get a feel for these teams.


Line Moves
The College Football Betting Odds started with Arkansas being a 9.5-point favorite in several outlets, but that has become an 11.5-point line in a lot of places. It’s a bit surprising as Arkansas is coming off such an egregious loss and is playing a bigger program. Basically, bettors are expect a bounce-back from Arkansas and are saying they don’t have much faith in Texas Tech. The Red Raiders have rolled to a couple of easy wins against basically FCS schools and now they have a huge step up in competition and are on the road. That’s likely some of the reasoning for betting Arkansas here.


Notable Injuries
Texas Tech has wide receiver Dylan Cantrell listed as questionable with a back injury. Linebacker Micah Awe is questionable with a shoulder injury.

The Razorbacks have defensive back Cornelius Floyd listed as questionable for this game with a hamstring injury. Punter Blake Johnson is out indefinitely with a suspension. Starting running back Jonathan Williams was lost for the season before it even began, with a foot injury. Wide receiver Cody Hollister is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Wide receiver Keon Hatcher will miss this game with a foot injury.


Handicapping The Game
The Razorbacks crushed Texas Tech at the line of scrimmage last year. Texas Tech has to be stronger up front. Backing Texas Tech with your College Football Picks makes sense, but siding with Arkansas is a more direct reading and understanding of recent history. That’s the pick here.

College Football Pick: Arkansas -11.5 at 5Dimes 

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