Army vs. Navy College Football Picks

Friday, December 13, 2013 8:37 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 13, 2013 8:37 PM UTC

Army and Navy will closeout the 2013 college football regular season when they play for the 114th time on Saturday. This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.

<p>The current pointspread has Navy listed as a 13-point favorite over Army with a posted total of 54 to 54.5 depending on what <a href="" target="_blank" title="Read our sportsbook reviews before placing your bets">sportsbook</a> you shop at.<span><o:p></o:p></span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">This series has been dominated by Navy over the last decade as the Midshipmen have won 11 straight meetings.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Navy also holds a 57-49-7 all-time series lead over Army.</span></p> <p><span face="Times New Roman" size="3" style="font-size:1em"><img alt="Image preview" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" src="" style="font-size:1em;float:right" />Army comes into this game at 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS. The Black Knights have some uncertainty at the quarterback position as starter Angel Santiago was replaced by A.J. Schurr in the second half in their last game against </span><span style="font-size:1em">Hawaii and led the team on 5 touchdown drives.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Head coach Rich Ellerson has been quiet about who will start this game.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">He simply said: “That’s why I close practice.”</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">The Black Knights <a href="/college-football/betting-stats/" target="_blank" title="Check out SBR's Team Stats">own the #1 rushing attack in the country</a> based on their 329 yards per game.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">They run the ball 80.1% of the time and they average 60.6 rushes per game while gaining 5.4 yards per rush.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Army has no passing game whatsoever as they only average 5.8 yards per pass attempt.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">Navy’s defense has not been that good this season.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The Midshipmen are giving up 29.7 points and 428 yards of offense per game.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">They’ve been vulnerable against the run as well as they are giving up 192 yards per game on the ground with opponents averaging 4.7 yards per rush.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The Midshipmen have played an extremely weak schedule so it’s not like those poor defensive numbers have come against good teams.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">Army’s defense has been poor as well.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The Black Knights are allowing 33.3 points and 428.7 yards of offense per game.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Army gives up an ugly 6.7 yards per play which ranks them #115 in the country.</span><span style="font-size:1em">They are also poor against the run as opponents average 203.8 yards per game on the ground while gaining 5.2 yards per rush.</span></p> <p style="text-align:center"><em><span style="font-size:1em"><a href="/betting-odds/college-football/" target="_blank" title="Live odds available for this and all bowl games">Live College Football Odds from SBR</a></span></em></p> <p><img alt="Image preview" class="imgSelectedPicture article-image" id="ctl00_head_ArticleAdministrator_picturePreview_imgSelectedPicture" src="" style="font-size:1em;float:right" /><span style="font-size:1em">The Midshipmen also have a powerful running game that runs the ball 81.2% of the time.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Navy averages 319 rushing yards per game which ranks them #3 in the country.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">They average 58.8 rushes per game while gaining 5.4 yards per rush attempt.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Discuss with other bettors your thoughts on this game">Both teams can run the ball</a> and neither team defends the run well at all.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">That’s a typical match-up between the service academies, and it makes these games difficult to handicap based on their statistical profiles.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">So we have to look at the intangibles in order to find an edge, and there are a few that favor Army in this game.</span></p> <p><span face="Times New Roman" size="3" style="font-size:1em">Navy has already won the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy so the result of this game has no bearing on that coveted accomplishment. Navy is also bowl bound as they’ve already accepted an invitation to play </span><span style="font-size:1em">Middle TennesseeState in the Armed Forces Bowl in Texas, a hot bed recruiting state for Navy.</span></p> <p><span face="Times New Roman" size="3" style="font-size:1em">Army head coach Rich Ellerson may be coaching his last game as rumors have circulated that he will be let go after this game. Ellerson is well-liked by his players, and an upset win over Navy in this game would be the best way his players could honor him. The Black Knights also have an unknown commodity to Navy in QB Schurr as they have no film on him except the second half of the </span><span style="font-size:1em">Hawaii game.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">The team scored 35 points with Schurr under center and he actually completed 5 passes for 122 yards.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">In rivalry games like this, we can just toss the records out.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">Navy is the better team on paper with the better statistics.</span> <span style="font-size:1em">But the intangibles greatly favor Army, and with an 11-year losing streak hanging over their heads, we’ll take the big points with the Black Knights as they play this game with purpose for themselves and their coach. Add Army to <a href="/college-football/" target="_blank" title="Free college football picks from SBR">your college football picks</a>.</span></p> <p><span face="Times New Roman" size="3"><b>Play ARMY (+).</b></span><span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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