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Arizona vs. Kansas State Early Picks, Predictions & Odds Week 3

Philip Wood

Last Updated: September 9, 2024 11:15 AM EDT • 2 min 63 sec read.

Arizona Wildcats quarterback Noah Fifita rolls out to pass against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks linebacker as we look at our Arizona vs. Kansas State early leans.
Arizona Wildcats quarterback Noah Fifita rolls out to pass against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks linebacker. Photo by Aryanna Frank/Imagn Images.

The Arizona Wildcats and Kansas State Wildcats meet in a battle between two top-20 teams in Week 3 on Friday.

After cruising in Week 1, both of these teams struggled in Week 2. The Arizona vs. Kansas State early leans and odds suggest this may not actually be a top-20 matchup. Kansas State is at home as the favorites by more than a touchdown, which is deserved since that's the more complete team of the two so far this season.

Meanwhile, Arizona struggled against the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks. The school trailed 10-6 at halftime before rattling off 16 consecutive points in the second half. A performance like that on Friday would surely result in a loss.

Arizona vs. Kansas State live odds

See the college football odds from our best college football betting sites for every Week 3 game.

Moneyline

It’s no surprise to see Kansas State heavily favored. Where this line moves will depend on what matters more to the public.

Do bettors care more that Arizona is getting a 20 next to its name? Or that Arizona wasn't good against the Lumberjacks? We think the performance against Northern Arizona will win out and Kansas State will move to about -240 or so on the moneyline.

Spread

  • Kansas State best odds: -6.5 (-108) via DraftKings
  • Arizona best odds: +7 (-105) via bet365

DraftKings is alone among our best sports betting sites while offering this spread under a touchdown. You should get in on Kansas State right away.

Arizona is not a great football team this season, even if it defeated the New Mexico Lobos 61-39 in Week 1. The offense was great, but the school's defense was terrible.

Based on that performance, and this game being played in Kansas, Kansas State should easily notch at least a seven-point victory. Don’t wait to make this bet.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 56.5 (-110) via bet365
  • Under best odds: 56.5 (-108) via DraftKings

There isn’t much difference in this total when betting at one sportsbook over another. Pretty much all of our best sportsbooks are setting it at 56.5 for a price of -110.

Kansas State has scored 40-plus-points in each of its games. So look for this number to increase before kickoff, even if it shouldn’t.

My early Arizona vs. Kansas State lean

College football picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Kansas State -6.5

Best odds: -108 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.92%

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Maybe neither one of these teams is as good as rankings suggest.

However, Kansas State went on the road and knocked off a Tulane program that's been great in recent years. It wasn’t a pretty win, but it was a victory over a legit team.

Meanwhile, Arizona has struggled in each of its first two games. Quarterback Noah Fifta has been average at best, and the team's defense has been really bad, even if it only allowed 10 points last week.

DraftKings offering this spread below a touchdown is a gift. This number is going to climb through the key figure and eventually settle at 7.5 or 8. There's no benefit to waiting to get in on Kansas State.

Now that we have two games to use for an assessment, Kansas State is clearly a much better team than Arizona. Throw out the preseason hype, and take this incredibly favorable spread.

Don't miss our guide for how to bet on college football or this week's best sportsbook promos.

How to watch Arizona vs. Kansas State

  • When: Friday, Sept. 13
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Bill Snyder Stadium, Manhattan, KS
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: 59 degrees, 12% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph
  • Favorite: Kansas State (-225 via FanDuel)

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.