Arizona to Cover -7.5 as Week 4 NCAAF Pick Over California

Jeff Grant

Friday, September 19, 2014 12:51 PM GMT

The California Golden Bears have captured the imagination of sports bettors in the early going this season, which means the Arizona Wildcats are the play in Tucson Saturday night.

Pointing Upwards
California is certainly trending in the right direction after already exceeding its 2013 win total by capturing its first two games, while it also benefits from some extra time off to prepare for this Week 4 matchup.

The Golden Bears have outscored opponents by a 42-0 margin in the first quarter this year, which is important to consider when looking over the first-half College Football betting odds, while they’ve played 20 freshmen heading into their third contest.

For those placing sports picks, it’s important to point out that the program is 1-5 SU in its last six Pac-12 Conference openers, while it has dropped its second road game of the season the last six years.

 

Explosive
Rich Rodriguez is the first coach to lead Arizona to 3-0 starts in three-straight season since 1973-75, while his squad is one of four with at least 800 rushing yards and 800 passing yards.

On 14 total touchdowns this season, the Wildcats average 35.4 yards per scoring play, which can’t be ignored when making your college football picks.  Among those plays—three of them have traveled 85-plus yards.

Since Rodriguez’ arrival in Tucson, the team is 15-4 SU and 8-10 ATS as College Football odds favorites, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (8-8 Over/Under).

 

Talented Quarterback
In last year’s 33-28 loss to Arizona as 14-point home underdogs, California quarterback Jared Goff threw a career-high-tying four touchdown passes, with three of them going to Kenny Lawler.

Goff matched that performance by tossing four scores in a 55-14 win over Sacramento State as 27-point home favorites on Sept. 6, with the school winning the statistical battle by 280 yards.

With his strong play in the early going, the Golden Bears are tied for first nationally in red zone offense—converting on all 11 red zone trips.

 

A Bright Future
The Wildcats are one of four programs to start first-year players at both quarterback and running back this season, but Anu Solomon and Nick Wilson haven’t held back the offense, as both are among the Pac-12 leaders in overall statistics heading into this affair.

Solomon leads all FBS freshman signal-callers with 934 passing yards, while Wilson leads all rookies with 449 yards on the ground.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Wildcats as one of their Week 4 College Football picks, as they’ve covered five of their six conference home wins since Rodriguez arrived in the Grand Canyon State.

Free College Football Pick:  Arizona Wildcats -7.5 at Pinnacle

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