Applying Successful Trends To College Football Betting In Week 12

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, November 15, 2016 8:08 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 15, 2016 8:08 PM UTC

Ross Benjamin 37-19 (66%) shares two of his top betting angles for this week’s college football card. Join us in reading this enlightening article which includes a pair of free picks.

 Oklahoma State vs TCU 12:00 PM ET

This current point spread tells me everything. At this very moment (11/14), the college football betting odds at has TCU as a 4.0-point home favorite. Putting that into perspective, we have an unranked TCU team as a favorite against #13 Oklahoma State. Furthermore, if this game were to be played at Oklahoma State, the Cowboys would be a paltry 1.0 to 2.5-point favorite. On the surface, taking the ranked underdog would seem like an absolute steal. However, it’s just never that easy, and the best sportsbooks aren’t that generous. As a matter of fact, they’re anything but giving.

Now let’s look at college football ATS betting history pertaining to teams in this precise situation. TCU is coming off a 62-22 win at then #11 Baylor in their previous game. It’s also worth noting, that contest took place 2 weeks ago, and TCU will enter Saturday’s game with an extra week of rest compared to Oklahoma State.

Speaking of Oklahoma State, they’re currently riding a 6-game win streak. Nevertheless, they’ve allowed 31 points or more during 4 of those 6 wins, and that includes in each of its last 2 outings.

Any conference home favorite (TCU) of 33.0 or less that’s not undefeated, coming off a conference win by 35 points or greater, versus an opponent (Oklahoma State) which has allowed 31 points or more in each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going 22-1 ATS (95.7%) since 2003.

Free College Football Pick: TCU -4.0Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Virginia vs Georgia Tech 12:30 PM ET

Georgia Tech is coming off a 30-20 win last Saturday at nationally ranked Virginia Tech, and did so as a sizable 14.0-point away underdog. That win improved the Yellow Jackets record to 6-4.

Any conference home favorite of 10.0 or more (Georgia Tech), coming off a conference straight-up road win in which they scored 24 points or more, while doing so as an away underdog of 10.0 or greater, and they possess a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 23-6 ATS (79.3%) since 1994.

It will be the 5th time this season that I’ve used some variation of this college football betting angle. I won on the first 3 occasions, then last week it failed me for a first time in 2016 after Charlotte blew a 21-0 lead against a 1-8 Rice team. Nonetheless, following this extremely profitable betting algorithm has paid huge dividends when making my college football picks throughout the past 2 decades.

Free College Football Pick: Georgia Tech -10.5Best line Offered: at Intertops

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