Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina Prediction, Tonight: Week 11 Picks & Odds
In a weeknight Sun Belt matchup, Coastal Carolina hosts Appalachian State at Brooks Stadium in Conway, S.C., with kickoff slated for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN).
- Our Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina prediction expects the Mountaineers to cover on the road
- After a slow start to the season, the Mountaineers look more like the team that was among the Group of Five College Football Playoff odds favorites
- Coastal Carolina has lost four of its last five and now must face a QB in Joey Aguilar who entered the season as one of the G5's best Heisman Trophy odds contenders
In one of the top weeknight games of our Week 11 college football predictions, we think the Mountaineers will show up in a big way.
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina odds movement
There's been some serious movement across the best sportsbooks heading into this Sun Belt matchup. Coastal Carolina opened at -1.5, and that line has moved all the way to Appalachian State -2.
However, 61% of the money is on the Chanticleers with just 39% on the Mountaineers. The Under has 54% of the money and is hovering around 62.5.
Best Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Appalachian State +1 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Coastal Carolina ⭐⭐
- My best bet: Joey Aguilar 3+ passing touchdowns (+174 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina against the spread prediction: Week 11
Appalachian State to cover the spread: +1 (-110) ⭐⭐
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina opening odds:
- Appalachian State: +1.5 (-120 via BetMGM)
- Coastal Carolina: -1.5 (+100 via BetMGM)
Offense propels Mountaineers to victory
The Chanticleers are allowing 34.0 points per game this season and at least 34 points in five consecutive games. Every Sun Belt opponent they’ve faced has scored over 30 points against them, as they’re allowing an average of 37 points per game to conference opponents.
While the Mountaineers are only averaging 25.3 points per game, they’ve averaged over 28 over their last three contests. Their passing offense averages 277.7 yards per game, ranking 24th in the nation.
While things look good for the Mountaineers, this is still only a two-star play because the Mountaineers have serious defensive problems. They’re allowing 37.9 points per game, and a matchup with them might be just what the Chanticleers need to improve upon the 18.3 points per game they’ve averaged over the last three weeks.
The spread for this game is all over the place at our best sports betting apps, with Appalachian State favored at some sportsbooks and Coastal Carolina favored at others. Really what it all amounts to is this is a pick 'em. The Mountaineers are the better team moving in the right direction right now, so I’m picking them.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina best bet
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Joey Aguilar 3+ passing touchdowns (+174) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Aguilar has thrown at least three touchdown passes in three consecutive games. This comes after failing to throw that many touchdown passes for five consecutive games to start the season.
Because he’s had so much success of late, every sportsbook has him between -190 and -233 to throw at least two touchdown passes on Thursday. Even in such a great matchup, that’s a steep price. But considering our best sportsbooks think he has a nearly two-thirds chance of hitting his Over, the value on him to throw one more touchdown pass is legitimate.
The Chanticleers have allowed three of the last four quarterbacks they’ve faced to throw three touchdown passes. The only quarterback who didn’t during that span threw two. FanDuel is the only sportsbook offering this prop. Don’t wait for anyone else; this price is phenomenal, considering the matchup.
Best odds: +174 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 36.50%
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Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina game info
- When: Thursday, Nov. 7
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Brooks Stadium (Conway, S.C.)
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 72 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, wind 4 mph S
- Favorite: Coastal Carolina -1 (-110 via BetMGM)
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