ACC Week 4 Overview: Clemson D to Sting Georgia Tech

Monday, September 17, 2018 2:22 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 17, 2018 2:22 PM UTC

Clemson's defense will sting the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, likely causing a low-scoring clash. Also expect a scarcity of points in Pitt at North Carolina, Virginia Tech at Old Dominion, and a couple of other ACC contests.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">ACC Spotlight: No. 3 Clemson (-16) at Georgia Tech</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: 'Under'</h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448854, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,999991,169,93], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>One thing bettors can predict with certainty as No. 3 Clemson (3-0 SU, 0-3 ATS) and Georgia Tech (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) clash in Atlanta on Saturday is that one will cover its first spread this season. Which program prevails is the challenge. Here are a few tips to help.</p><p>The Tigers have been overvalued in this situation for almost two years now. They have failed to cover the spread in their last seven road tests laying double digits to unranked conference foes, coming up 8.6 points per game shy of a 21.5 average line. Meeting expectations offensively is the issue. Clemson posts 31.1 points per game, failing to surpass its projected team total in each.</p><p>The Yellow Jackets, meanwhile, post just 12.5 points per contest when catching more than 5 points on the <a href="" title="Live NCAAF Odds">college football odds board</a> hosting ranked opponents over the last 20 years. In six matchups, they have never put up more than three touchdowns. The Clemson D is arguably the toughest unit faced overall in this scenario. Points will be scarce.</p><p><a href="" title="Free NCAAF Picks">Pick the "under" for your best bet</a>. The wager is 13-5-1 (70.6 percent) in the last 19 contests at Bobby Dodd Stadium hosting a ranked opponent regardless of the betting line. A 43.5 combined score comes up 7.5 points short of a 50.4 average total.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Kickoff against second-ranked Clemson is set for 3:30p on September 22 at Bobby Dodd Stadium. 🐝🏈&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;TV network (ABC or ESPN) will be announced after Saturday’s games.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Buy tickets: &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;β€” Georgia Tech Football (@GeorgiaTechFB) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;September 10, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Around the ACC (All Games Saturday)</h2><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">No. 23 Boston College (-6.5) at Purdue</a>, noon ET, on ESPN2:</strong> Boston College (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) wins just 36.2 percent of the time against Power 5 opponents behind head coach Steve Addazio, kicking off with a 6.2 average line. On the road with a lesser number, the Eagles are 8-3 SU and ATS.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">No. 8 Notre Dame (-7) at Wake Forest</a>, noon ET, on ABC:</strong> Wake Forest (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) has covered the spread in its last 11 straight games against ranked opponents, topping a 19.8 average line by 7.1 point per game. Notre Dame (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS), meanwhile, owns a 6.8 average margin of victory in its last 10 road ACC games dating back a decade.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Pitt (-3.5) at North Carolina</a>, 12:20 p.m. ET, on ACC Network: </strong>The "under" is 7-1 when head coach Larry Fedora leads North Carolina (0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS) as a home underdog. A 48.0 average final score finishes 10.6 points shy of a 58.6 game total.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Louisville at Virginia (-3.5)</a>, 12:30 p.m. ET, on ACC Network:</strong> Louisville (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) has failed to cover the spread by 10 points or more in each of its last four games dating to last year's 31-27 defeat to Mississippi State in the Taxslayer Bowl.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">No. 13 Virginia Tech (-28) at Old Dominion</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET, on CBSSN:</strong> Defensive coordinator Bud Foster surrenders a paltry 12.4 points per game in 15 prior matchups when Virginia Tech (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) squares off against C-USA opponents. The 'under' has hit in the last four away tilts, by an absurd 24.4 average margin.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Back on the grind in the &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#BeamerBarn&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#Hokies&lt;/a&gt; πŸ¦ƒ &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;β€” Virginia Tech Football (@VT_Football) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;September 16, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p><strong>North Carolina Central at Duke (OFF), 3:30 p.m. ET, on ACC Network:</strong> Duke (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) is beating North Carolina Central (1-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) by 44.7 points per game in six meetings since 2009. The Blue Devils have lit up the scoreboard for 45 points or more in each.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Northern Illinois at Florida State (-11.5)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET:</strong> Talk about overvalued. New head coach Willie Taggart has failed to cover the spread by 28, 20.5, and 26 points through his first three games in charge of Florida State (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS). No team in the nation owns a worst against-the-spread margin (-24.83) playing multiple games in 2018.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Florida International at No. 21 Miami (-26.5)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET:</strong> The "under" has hit in six of the last seven when Miami (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) faces a C-USA foe. A 45.3 combined score stays 11.6 points south of a 51.8 average total.</p><p><strong>UConn at Syracuse (OFF), 4 p.m. ET, on ESPNews:</strong> Syracuse is 3-0 SU and ATS following a convincing 30-7 home win over Florida State on Saturday. Careful fading UConn (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) here. The Orange is 2-8 SU and ATS facing opponents scoring 37 points or more in their previous game, coming up 11.3 points shy of the spread (11.1). The Huskies exploded for 56 points in a Week 2 victory over Rhode Island.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">N.C. State (-7) at Marshall</a>, 7 p.m. ET, on CBSSN:</strong> N.C. State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) IS 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS going off road chalk behind head coach Dave Doeren, covering a -8.4 average line by 7.4 points per game.</p>
comment here