ACC Week 10 Overview: Boston College Rare Chalk at Virginia Tech

Jay Pryce

Monday, October 29, 2018 9:23 AM UTC

Monday, Oct. 29, 2018 9:23 AM UTC

Back Boston College in your Week 10 college football picks to cover the spread at Virginia Tech against a vulnerable Hokies defense unable to slow the run. Our betting analysis into this contest, as well as the rest of the rest of the ACC schedule here.

ACC Spotlight: No. 24 Boston College at Virginia TechSaturday, 3:45 p.m. ET, on ACC NetworkFree NCAAF Pick: Boston College MLBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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What has happened to coordinator Bud Foster’s famed Virginia Tech (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) defense? It’s young, but recent performances are beyond excusable. The unit has been gutted for 45-plus points in three of its last five games. At Lane Stadium on Saturday, it yielded the fourth most rushing yards in program history (465) in a 49-28 romp via triple-option Georgia Tech. Slowing the rush will be priority number one this weekend.

Boston College (6-2 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) is favored in the series for the first time in 24 meetings, a stretch dating back to 1994. The offense is averaging 38.0 points per game in 2018, despite niggling injuries to ACC Preseason Player of the Year RB A.J. Dillon.

The star back is finally healthy and coming off arguably his best game of the year with a 149-yard effort in a 27-14 win over Miami. Expect a heavy dose of Dillon in Blacksburg. The Eagles are 10-2 SU and ATS when the bell-cow rushes the ball 20 times or more in a contest.

The last seven ranked opponents to take on an unranked Hokies squad in Blacksburg or on neutral soil have all won outright by a 15.0 average margin. Tech has yielded 28 points or more in each contest, allowing 38.1 per game overall. Look for Boston College to hit 30 in a narrow win.

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Good to see THIS guy back on the field for @BCFootball

AJ Dillon goes for 1⃣4⃣9⃣ in big win Friday night!#WeAreBC 🦅 #DecideToFly (@ajdillon7) pic.twitter.com/TXlxYLIBDB

— ACC Digital Network (@theACCDN) October 27, 2018
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Around the ACC (All Games Saturday Unless Noted)

Pitt at No. 23 Virginia (-7.5), Friday, 7:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN2: Virginia (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS) enters winning three straight for just the second time since 2011. Pitt (4-4 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) posts 19.5 points per game on the road since the start of last season. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in this spot, coming up 7.4 points shy of a 56.2 average total.

Louisville at No. 2 Clemson (-38), noon ET, on ABC: Oddsmakers favored Clemson (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS) by -20.5 in Games of the Year lines offered in May. The Tigers 163 points over the last three games ties for second most all-time under head coach Dabo Swinney. Clemson is 1-5 ATS in six games accruing more than 140 points in three straight since the one-time national Coach of the Year took over.

No. 22 Syracuse (-4) at Wake Forest, noon ET, on ACC Network: Syracuse (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS), ranked in the AP poll for the first time since 2001, was a 7-point underdog in this matchup in preseason lines. Wake Forest (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS) snapped an 11-game cover streak against ranked opponents in a 56-27 loss to Notre Dame in Week 4. It also came up well short of the number (20.5) in a 63-3 romp by then-No. 3 Clemson in Week 6.

Georgia Tech (-4) at North Carolina, 12:15 p.m. ET, on ACC Network: Since Mitch Trubisky departed for the NFL, North Carolina (1-6 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) averages 21.5 points in ACC play. Georgia Tech head coach Paul Johnson is 31-5 SU and 28-7-1 ATS all-time when holding conference opponents to under 24 points in a contest.

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Florida State at N.C. State (-6.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, on ABC: Since 2000, N.C. State (5-2 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) is 13-3-1 ATS in its series with Florida State (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS). The Wolfpack have never kicked off favorites in eight matchups at Carter-Finley Stadium in this span, yet are 4-4 SU overall.

Duke at Miami (-8), 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN2: Miami (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) is 2-9 ATS in is last 11 games stretching back to late November 2017. Posting just 24.3 points per game, the offense has come up short of its projected team total in all but three contests. Duke (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS), meanwhile, has won all five games outright catching points in this span, covering a 4.9 average line by 19.3 points. Upset alert?

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