ACC Championship Tigher Than Odds Suggest? UNC-Clemson College Football Picks

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, December 2, 2015 4:36 PM GMT

Our college football analyst provides us with a preview on the ACC Championship between North Carolina & Clemson. Join us in reading this article which concludes with a college football pick.

ACC Title Game with massive Implications
North Carolina (11-1) and Clemson (12-0) will meet in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday. The opening kickoff at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina is slated for 8:00 PM ET. Current college football odds, has Clemson as a 5 point favorite, and the posted total is 67.0. This will be the first meeting of the season between these teams.  Clemson was a 50-35 winner over North Carolina a season ago, and the Tigers covered as a 14.0 point home favorite.

 

Moment of Truth for Tar Heels
North Carolina has reeled off 11 wins in a row following a head scratching opening game loss to South Carolina. Ironically that loss occurred during a neutral site game played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. Despite their impressive winning streak and record, North Carolina hasn’t received a whole lot of respect from the College Football Playoff Committee. As of Tuesday’s (12/1) ratings, North Carolina is #10 with two loss teams like Stanford, Notre Dame, and Florida State ranked ahead of them. The Tar Heels didn’t face the top three teams in the ACC Atlantic Division (Clemson, Florida State, & Louisville) this season, and voters obviously weren’t impressed with their strength of schedule. Their lone loss to a 3-9 South Carolina team certainly hasn’t helped their cause. With all that being said, Saturday will be a golden opportunity to sway voters, and make a statement against the top ranked team (Clemson) in the land.

 

One Win from Promised Land
Clemson is one win away from being a lock to be in this season’s College Football Playoff on New Year’s Eve. After all, they’ve been #1 since the College Football Playoff Committee released their first ratings in late October. Some may argue that even with a narrow defeat against a very good opponent like North Carolina, they should still be part of the four team field. However, the Tigers don’t want to even think about that scenario at this juncture. Theoretically with a win, it becomes a no brainer for the committee. The Tigers have a couple of impressive wins on their resume against #8 Notre Dame (10-2) and #9 Florida State (10-2). It must be noted, both of those victories came on their home field.

 

Matchup Analysis
Both of these teams possess a high powered offensive attack. North Carolina averages 41.2 points per game, and Clemson is at 37.9 per contest. Both offenses also operate at a blazing pace with North Carolina averaging 66 plays per game, and Clemson a slightly better 68 per outing. Both defenses have been more than respectable this season, but have been overshadowed by their prolific offenses.

 

College Football Betting Angle
Any underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 (North Carolina), coming off a conference win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent (Clemson) coming off a road game in which both teams scored 31 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 45-15 (75%) against the spread since 1996. The underdog also won 29 of those 60 games outright. I really like the underdog value in this contest, and one of my college football picks this will be indicative of that sentiment.

College Football Pick: North Carolina +5 at Heritage

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