ACC Championship Football Picks: Florida State vs. Georgia Tech

Jeff Grant

Monday, December 1, 2014 8:10 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 1, 2014 8:10 PM GMT

Florida State has been a great team to pick against in terms of the point spread this season, but that’ll change against Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship Game Saturday.

Rolling Along
Florida State has won a school-record 28 consecutive games, which can’t be ignored when making your College Football picks, with 25 of the victories coming with 2013 Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston under center.

Winston has struggled at times in trying to get the Seminoles into the college football playoff, but he’s still managed to throw a touchdown in his last 25 games played, including two to tight end NIck O’Leary in last week’s 24-19 win over Florida as seven-point home favorites.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 38-2 SU and 19-21 ATS as favorites, with the OVER going 21-16 in that situation.

 

A Scheduling Advantage
Georgia Tech came off its second bye week of the season to pick up a 30-24 come-from-behind victory over Georgia in overtime, as it improved to 5-0 SUATS in its last five contests—capturing the statistical battle by at least 75 yards in all of those affairs.

The Yellow Jackets’ 123 points off turnovers are the fourth-most in the country this season, which is important to consider when looking over the College Football odds, as they’ve registered seven red-zone takeaways.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 6-10 SU and 8-8 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (8-8 Over/Under).

 

Rising to the Occasion
The Seminoles have been able to survive despite Winston’s sloppy play in recent weeks, as Dalvin Cook has led the team on the ground in the last seven games, including a career-high 144-yard performance last week.

Florida State has the opportunity to be explosive offensively with Cook on the field, as he’s had 10 runs of 20 or more yards on the year.

 

Pounding the Rock
The Yellow Jackets are capable of breaking off long runs of their own, as they rank third nationally in averaging 333.8 rushing yards per game, including 12 straight affairs of going over 200 in that category.

Georgia Tech quarterback Justin Thomas will have to make good decisions in running the team’s option attack, especially with leading receiver DeAndre Smelter being listed as doubtful with a knee injury.

 

Outlook
I’ve developed a handicapper line that favors the Seminoles by three points in this high-profile matchup, which means that sports bettors should lay the number at the field goal price, but take the Yellow Jackets at any price above that number if Smelter is active.

Free College Football Pick: Florida State Seminoles -3 at BetOnline

comment here