AAC Week 4 Overview: Green Wave Won't Make a Ripple at Ohio State

Monday, September 17, 2018 5:07 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 17, 2018 5:07 PM UTC

Tulane makes the tough trip to Columbus on Saturday to face Ohio State, which welcomes back their coach Urban Meyer. This does not figure to be a fun sojourn for this AAC squad as a very chalky underdog.

Doug's 2018 CFB Record: 3-3

Tulane (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) at No. 4 Ohio State (3-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS)Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET (BTN)Free NCAAF Pick: Ohio State -35Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448315, "sportsbooksIds":[93,169,238,19,92], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Tulane's run defense was no match for a fired up UAB team off a bad loss, and the Green Wave lost 31-24 as four-point road favorites in Week 3. Tulane surrendered 269 yards on the ground and on the season is allowing 205, which is 107th in the country. As bad as that sounds, Tulane's run defense in a manner of speaking is holding up, since their three opponents have averaged 244.5 yards per game rushing.

In the real world, there is talk of a blue wave or a red wave, but a Green Wave is coming to Columbus. This is thought less as a wave and more like a ripple in the literal sense, with the college football odds having the Buckeyes as 35-point favorites.

Under normal circumstances, Tulane could be catching Ohio State in the ultimate peanut butter and jelly situation, the "sandwich" game. The Buckeyes just had a hard-fought battle against TCU and travel to Penn State next week.

One issue: Coach Urban Meyer is back, and though it's not exactly like the regular teacher coming back for the substitute, there are similarities. Meyer has three weeks of things to talk about in terms of improvement, which will get everyone's attention. While the focus might not be razor sharp for a team like Tulane, it will be more attentive than usual because of the circumstances.

The Green Wave is a running team first. There two most important backs are Darius Bradwell and Corey Dauphine, both of whom average more than 5.0 YPC. Quarterback Jonathan Banks completes less the 50 percent of passes but does make plays down the field.

While the TCU defense did a number of things well to slow Ohio State down, Tulane's defense does not have the speed, quickness or talent to match. OSU's Dwayne Haskins is a star in the making at quarterback and is extremely accurate, throwing to very good pass catchers. Backs Mike Weber and J.K. Dobbins are competing for playing time and are pushing each other and running hard. Stacked behind a large and powerful offensive line, Ohio State is at 5.8 YPC.

The Ohio State defense is not overwhelming, at least not yet, and does give more yards than typical Buckeyes stop troops. Still, this a solid group that will get better. Though five touchdowns is a load of points to give, for college football picks, with Meyer back, he and his coaches will push this team and they cover with 56-13 final score.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/J6BkSVe3s8U", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]

Around the American Conference

Tulsa at Temple (-6.5), Thursday 7:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN: The fifth-ever meeting and each team has won twice. Tulsa is 16-5 ATS on the road, while Temple is 8-2 ATS vs. losing teams.

Florida Atlantic at Central Florida (-14), Friday 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN: Only prior meeting was when FAU was still an FCS team in 2003. The Owls are 13-3 ATS away vs. winning teams. UFC is 29-20 ATS since 2009 as a home favorite.

Ohio U. at Cincinnati (-8.5), 12 p.m. ET, on ESPNU: Series record is 23-23-4, but these Ohio schools last played 37 years ago. The Bobcats are 14-5 ATS in last 19 nonconference games. Cincinnati is just 3-13 ATS at home.

Navy (-7.5) at SMU, 12 p.m. ET, on ESPN: This AAC affair is for the Gansz Trophy and Navy has won all six (5-1 ATS). Dating back to 1993, the Midshipmen are 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS against SMU, including a perfect 6-0 (5-1 ATS) record in Dallas vs. the Mustangs.

Connecticut (+27.5) at Syracuse, 4 p.m. ET, on ESPNNews: These are former Big East partners. Connecticut is a bad football team that is 11-38-2 ATS after giving 450 or more yards. The Orange have covered five straight off a win.

East Carolina at South Florida (-24), 8 p.m. ET, on ESPNNews: South Florida leads this series at 7-1 SU and ATS because of their tremendous speed edge. ECU is 11-27 ATS of late against winning teams. USF is a solid 15-7-1 ATS in Tampa.

Texas Southern at Houston (-49.5), 8 p.m. ET, on ESPN3: Texas Southern has started the season 1-2. After losing 63-49 at Texas Tech, Houston is 2-7 ATS after permitting 45 or more points.

South Alabama at Memphis (-28), 8 p.m. ET, on ESPN3: Memphis has won 14 consecutive nonconference home games by 29.5 PPG, yet is 4-15 ATS after scoring 50 points or more. South Alabama is 4-17 ATS off an SU victory.

comment here