AAC Week 2 Overview: Navy Will Cover in Tight Tussle With Memphis

Monday, September 3, 2018 3:25 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 3, 2018 3:25 PM UTC

Based on preseason prognostications, this week's Memphis at Navy battle might decide who wins the AAC West. Houston will have something to say, but the winner places themselves in a great position.

<p style="text-align:right"><em><strong>Doug's 2018 CFB Record: 1-1</strong></em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/memphis-tigers-vs-navy-midshipmen-3448816/odds/" title="Game Odds">Memphis (1-0 SU and ATS ) at Navy (0-1 SU and ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET (CBSSN)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Navy +4.5</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4400&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448816, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,1275,1252,999996,19], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>To the surprise of few, Memphis mauled Mercer 66-14 as 31-point home favorites. Going on the road against a mad bunch of Midshipmen will not be an easy task for the Tigers. Navy was not prepared for the diversity of Hawaii's offense and trailed 28-0 not even 20 minutes into the contest before losing 59-41 as 13-point road faves.</p><p>Given Memphis has a similar style of offense as the Rainbow Warriors to attack Navy, the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/" target="_blank" title="Live NCAAF Odds">college football odds board</a> opened with the Tigers as 4.5-point favorites.</p><p>As expected, Brady White won the Memphis quarterback job and the junior threw for 358 yards and five touchdowns last week. It doesn't figure to be that simple on the road this week. Nonetheless, this is a potent Memphis offense.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Brady White's debut is record setting as Tigers blast Mercer, 66-14, to open the season. &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/iuFyG2jdAV\"&gt;https://t.co/iuFyG2jdAV&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Memphis Tigers (@TigersAthletics) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/TigersAthletics/status/1036102307602223105?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;September 2, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Four starting offensive linemen returned, as did their top three running backs, led by Darrell Henderson. As per usual, the Tigers have talented receivers and Navy lacks the speed and quickness on the secondary to stay with this quality of pass catchers over four quarters and they need a pass rush to slow Memphis.</p><p>For Navy to stay in this game, clearly, they cannot fall far behind like last week and they have to control the pigskin with the option. Quarterback Malcolm Perry is an explosive runner but at 5-foot-9 and 185 pounds he has to get to the edge, because running him up the middle will be of no value. It is imperative the Midshipmen establish fullback Anthony Garguilo up the middle. If he can average four or five yards a carry, that opens up the edges and keeps Navy on time for down and distance.</p><p>There are real concerns about the Navy's defense facing a team like Memphis, but they have covered their last three meetings as AAC partners. As always, the Middies play all 60 minutes with effort and the Tigers are 0-7 ATS as single-digit favorites against an opponent off a SU setback as a favorite.</p><p>That is why for <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/college-football/" target="_blank" title="Free NCAAF Picks">college football picks</a> I'll take the Navy as a home underdog and look for them to improve to 7-3 ATS in that role and 24-14 ATS as single-digit dogs.</p><p> </p><h2>Around the AAC (Games Saturday Unless Noted)</h2><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/tcu-horned-frogs-vs-southern-methodist-mustangs-3448798/odds/" title="Game Odds">No. 16 TCU at SMU (+21.5)</a>, Friday at 9 p.m. ET, on ESPN2: </strong>It's the battle of the Iron Skillet. TCU has the far superior team, but could they be looking ahead to Ohio State next week? SMU is 5-3 ATS catching 20 or more points.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/arizona-wildcats-vs-houston-cougars-3448811/odds/" title="Game Odds">Arizona at Houston (-4.5)</a>, noon ET, on ABC/ESPN2: </strong>Neither team was impressive last week, but at least Houston got the win. Arizona is 13-0 ATS playing with revenge off a SU favorite loss. Houston is where Kevin Sumlin (new Wildcats coach) launched his career.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/georgia-tech-yellow-jackets-vs-south-florida-bulls-3449024/odds/" title="Game Odds">Georgia Tech at South Florida (+3)</a>, noon ET, on ABC/ESPN: </strong>Georgia Tech routed Alcorn State 41-0 last week, but is just 1-7 ATS in the first of two road games. USF is only 8-12 ATS as a home underdog.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/north-carolina-tar-heels-vs-east-carolina-pirates-3448814/odds/" title="Game Odds">North Carolina at East Carolina (+14.5)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET, on ESPNU:</strong> These Carolina partners last played in 2014 and East Carolina has won the last two contests. Yet the Pirates still are only 4-12-1 SU against North Carolina.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/buffalo-bulls-vs-temple-owls-3449026/odds/" title="Game Odds">Buffalo at Temple (-4.5)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN3:</strong> These clubs used to be MAC members. Temple will be trying to regroup after ugly 19-17 home loss to Villanova. Buffalo is 7-5-1 ATS in nonconference action the last four years.</p><p><strong>South Carolina St. at Central Florida (TBD), 6 p.m. ET, on ESPN3:</strong> South Carolina State lost their opener 37-6 and figures to be in for another long day. UCF should roll and is 16-6 ATS when favored by 20 or more points.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/tulsa-golden-hurricane-vs-texas-longhorns-3449175/odds/" title="Game Odds">Tulsa (+21) at Texas</a>, 8 p.m. ET, on LHN:</strong> Tulsa is 3-20 and 6-17 ATS in road openers and catches Texas off a terrible upset at Maryland where they outworked. The Longhorns are 12-5-1 ATS as double-digit favorites.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/cincinnati-bearcats-vs-miami-(oh)-redhawks-3449245/odds/" title="Game Odds">Cincinnati (+2.5) at Miami-O</a>, 8 p.m. ET, on ESPN3:</strong> Nice upset win for Cincinnati at UCLA. This year's Victory Bell battle will again be played at Paul Brown Stadium, the home of the NFL's Bengals. Miami-O has lost 12 in a row to the Bearcats (5-7 ATS).</p><p><strong>Nicholls at Tulane (TBD), 8 p.m. ET, on ESPN3:</strong> Nicholls upset Kansas 26-23 as 9.5-point road underdogs. Tulane is 6-10 ATS in the second of two or more home games.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/connecticut-huskies-vs-boise-state-broncos-3453258/odds/" title="Game Odds">Connecticut (+33.3) at Boise State</a>, 10:15 p.m. ET, on ESPNU:</strong> UConn is a repulsive 2-17 ATS in nonconference action. Boise State is only 4-8 ATS after scoring 50 or more points since 2011.</p>
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