5 Betworthy Trends to Remember for the 2018 College Football Season

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Kevin Stott

Sunday, December 17, 2017 12:29 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 17, 2017 12:29 PM UTC

5 Pretty Good Things to Remember for the 2018 College Football Season Some collect dolls, some collect Pokémon cards and some collect Trends. Like fading Boise State at Home on its sacred Blue Turf, right? We’ve stuffed 5 Betworthy Trends together worth remembering and using for the 2018 College Football season.

1—The University of Houston is a Perfect 9-0-1 ATS in it Last 10 in Betting Role as Underdogs

>The American Athletic Conference’s Houston Cougars (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS), now led by 1st-year Head Coach Major Applewhite (6-5 ATS), are an eye-popping 9-0-1 ATS in their L10 games an Underdog (+16.7 ppg vs ATS), although there was only one instance this past 2017 NCAA Regular Season where the Cougars were actually Point Spread Underdogs—in Week 11 at South Florida with Houston going off as 1o-point Dogs at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa in a game which saw the Bulls win 28-24.

Before this 1-0 ATS mark as Underdogs in 2017, Houston was 2-0 ATS as Underdogs in 2016 with Greg Ward at QB, 3-0 ATS as Underdogs in 2015 and 3-0-1 ATS as Dogs in 2014. The last time Houston lost ATS as an Underdog was on Jan. 4, 2014 in the BBVA Compass Bowl vs. Vanderbilt, losing 41-24 to the Commodores as small 1½-point Underdogs (52½) in Birmingham and the Cougars are a profitable 14-1-1 ATS in their L16 games as Underdogs since 2013 (15.8 ppg vs ATS). Ohio State has been the best team as an Underdog in FBS since 2003, going 18-8-0 ATS (69.2%) in that fairly rare betting role for the Buckeyes.


2—Hawai’i 4-19 ATS L23 Lined Home Games, Rainbow Warriors Last ATS Honolulu Cover in 2015

Mele Kalikimaka? Mountain West Conference member, the University of Hawai’i (3-9 SU, 1-10-1 ATS), behind 2nd-year Head Coach Nick Rolovich (7-17-1 ATS), were absolutely the best team in which to fade (bet against) in FBS in the 2017 Regular Season, and the Rainbow Warriors went a disappointing 0-6-0 ATS at Home on the FieldTurf of Aloha Stadium in Honolulu to make Hawai’i a money-burning 4-19 ATS its L23 games played in the state capital (17.4%), with the Rainbow Warriors last Home ATS cover in coming way back in Week 5 against Wyoming in Week 6 of the 2015 Regular Season (HAW -5, HAW 38 WYO 28).

The Rainbow Warriors were the much deserving King Rat in our “Cats and Rats” 2017 NCAA Football ATS rankings this year as QB Dru Brown, RB Diocemy St. Juste and Hawai’i defeated FCS side Western Carolina in their Home opener on Sept. 2, winning 41-18 (HAW -19½), then promptly proceeded to L5 more in a row ATS in Honolulu, also losing to visiting Colorado State on Sept. 30 by a 51-21 score (CSU -6½), falling to San José State ATS despite winning on Oct. 14, 37-26 (HAW -17), losing to San Diego State on Oct. 28, 28-7 (SDS -7½), losing to Fresno State on Nov. 11, 31-21 (FRESNO -9½) and then falling to Independent Brigham Young in the Regular Season and Home finales in the beautiful Aloha State on Nov. 25, 30-20 (BYU -3).


3—TCU Unders 16-4 L20 Regular Season, Horned Frogs Facing Stanford in Camping World Bowl

Betting the Total to go Under went 10-3 in TCU’s Regular Season games with only games against SMU (Home, Week 3), at high-powered Oklahoma State (Week 4) and vs. Oklahoma in the Regular Season finale going Over this past campaign. The #13 Horned Frogs (10-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) have now played 16 Unders in their L20 Regular Season games (80%). TCU will face #15 Stanford in the Camping World Bowl on Thursday, December 28 (9-4 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) at Camping World Stadium in Orlando (ESPN, 9 pm EST/6 pm PST; TCU -3 +100, 40, Bovada). After starting the 2015 Regular Season with 4 Overs in 5 games, Texas Christian Unders went 6-1 to end last season with the Horned Frogs Bowl game against Georgia going Over the closing 48½ Total by 10½ points in a 31-28 Bulldogs win. The Under was 7-5 in TCU Regular Season games in 2015 while the Under was just 4-8 in the Big 12 member’s 2014 Regular Season for now 17th-year Head Coach Gary Patterson (104-99-1 ATS).

4—Purdue a Pretty Profitable 16-4 ATS in its Last 20 Games in Role of Road Underdogs

Big Ten hustlers Purdue (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS) were pretty decent ATS overall this past 2017 FBS Regular Season, but the Boilermakers have been even better ATS in the role of Road Underdogs where Purdue went 3-1 ATS win ATS Wins at Missouri in Week 3 (+5½, PUR 35 MIZZOU 6), at Wisconsin in Week 7 (+17, WIS 17 PUR 9) and at Iowa in Week 10 (IOWA -6, PUR 24 IOWA 15) with the Boilermakers game against Northwestern at Evanston being the lone non-ATS cover as a Road Underdog (NU -6½, NU 23 PUR 13). Last season (2016), Purdue (3-9 SU, 5-6 ATS in 2016) was 4-1 ATS as a Road Underdog, covering at Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota and rivals Indiana (Old Oaken Bucket) getting 9, 25, 18 and 21 respectively with the Boilermakers’ Big Ten opener against and at Maryland the lone no-ATS cover as a Road dog that season in a Terrapins blowout (MARY -10½, MARY 50 PUR 7).

In 2015, Purdue was also 4-1 ATS, again losing its first Road (Underdog) game of the season (@ MARS), but then covering at tough Big Ten Conference opponents Michigan State, Wisconsin, Northwestern and Iowa getting 23, 21½, 14 and 22½ respectively. And in this role of the 2014 Regular Season, the Boilermakers covered ATS in 3 of 4 Road games as Underdogs (ILL-MIN-NEB) and losing getting +2½ at Bloomington against Indiana for the Old Oaken Bucket, 23-16. So overall the past 4 Regular Seasons, Purdue has gone a profitable 15-4 ATS in its L19 in the Role of Road Underdogs (78.9%) and 16-4 ATS the L20 overall dating back to last game of 2013. The Boilermakers (1-0 ATS vs AZ) will bang heads with Arizona (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) in the Foster Farms Bowl on Wednesday, December 27 (FOX, 8:30 pm EST/5:30 pm PST; AZ -4 -105, 65, Heritage) in a game in which QB Elijah Sindelar, WR Anthony Mahoungou and 1st-year Head Coach Jeff Brohm (8-4 ATS) and Purdue can definitely win outright (PUR +167 Moneyline, Pinnacle).

5—Auburn Best FBS Team as Home Underdog Since 2003, Went Sparkly 2-0 in That Role in 2017

>Not counting might MAC Conference Northern Illinois’ too small sample size of 4-1-10 ATS (80%), SEC Conference stalwart Auburn (10-3 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) has been the best team in College Football over the past 15 seasons on which to bet in the role of Home Underdogs, with Jarrett Stidham and the Tigers being lined as Home Underdogs to two of the final four CFP Playoff teams—#3 Georgia and #4 Alabama—and covering and winning both outright, knocking Georgia from the ranks of the unbeaten at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama in Week 11, winning 40-17 as 2½ Home Underdogs and then beating #1 and previously unbeaten Alabama in the Iron Bowl in Week 13 by a 26-14 final, winning outright as 4½-point Home Underdogs to Jalen Hurts and their heated rivals, the Crimson Tide.

Since 2003, Auburn and 5th-year Head Coach Gus Malzahn (31-29-2 ATS) have gone 14-5-1 ATS in the role of Home Underdogs (73.7%) beating the Point Spread in those 20 games by an average of 4.9 points per game. After Georgie got its Revenge in the SEC Championship Game, #7 Auburn will be playing #10 Central Florida (12-0) in the Peach Bowl on New Year's Day, (ESPN, 12:30 pm/9:30 am PST; AUB -9½, 66½, Bookmaker) giving the Plainsmen a third chance to knock off an unbeaten team this year, not counting their cupcake Home opener against then 0-0 FCS side Georgia Southern (AUB -35; AUB 41 GS 7) back in Week 1 when the Sun stayed out longer.

2017 NCAA FOOTBALL BOWLS BETWORTHY FREE PICK: Purdue +4 vs. Arizona
Best Odds are (-105) at Heritage
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