College Football Week 6 is in the books and a couple of more key players probably dropped from the CFP Playoffs scenario this past weekend.
Third-year Head Coach Mike Bobo (14-9-1 ATS) and Colorado State (4-2 SU/ATS) improved to 3-0 ATS on the Road with a 27-14 MWC Win on Saturday against Utah State at Merlin Olsen Stadium at Maverick Field in Logan, Utah (CSU -10) as the Rams got out to a nice 24-7 Halftime lead in the Beehive State and then coasted. After going 5-0 ATS on the Road in the 2017 Regular Season, Nick Stevens and CSU are now 8-1 ATS L9 Away games and have covered 8 straight ATS Road games but head Home to Fort Collins and Colorado State Stadium in Week 7 Saturday to host Nevada (CSU 3-0 ATS L3 at Home vs. NEV).
2—Are the Houston Cougars Turning Into an Under Totals Team?
With its 35-22 win over SMU at TDECU Stadium in Houston on Saturday in Week 6 American Athletic Conference play (HOU -10, 61), Houston (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) played its fifth straight Under of the 2017 Regular Season and a deeper handicapping dive reveals that Cougars Unders are a profitable 17-5 the L22 Regular Season Houston games, going 5-1 in 2015, 7-4 in 2016 and 5-0 so far this campaign. Next up on the schedule for 1st-year Head Coach Major Applewhite and Houston is a trip to lowly Tulsa (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) on Saturday in a series which has seen the Cougars go 1-3 ATS the L4 meetings, but against much stronger Golden Hurricane squads.
3—Eastern Michigan Are Definitely Trending As an Under Totals Team
After its 20-15 loss at Toledo on Saturday in Week 6, Eastern Michigan (2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS), like Houston, is a 5-0 Under Totals team this season (TOL -14, 60) as Head Coach Chris Creighton (22-17-1 ATS) and the Eagles played their 8th straight Under overall and 13th in their L15 games. No EMU game has reached the 50-point mark this season (Week 1: EMU 24 CHAR 7, 59; Week 2 EMU 16 RUT 13, 51; Week 3 OHIO 27 EMU 20, 54; Week 4: KENTUCKY 24 EMU 20, 50½) with the last Eagles game to do so coming at Ball State last Regular Season on Nov. 8 (EMU 48 BALL 41, 59½). So, it’s now been 11 straight months without an EMU Total going Over?
4—Ole Miss Still Weekly Fade Material Even After Backdoor Cover-Push For Some on Saturday at #12 Auburn
Despite pushing getting 21 at some sportsbooks after a late (2:47, 4th Quarter) TD against #12 Auburn in Week 6 on Saturday at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Alabama in a 44-23 final—the game was 38-3 early in the 3rd Quarter—SEC side Ole Miss (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) has still L10 of 12 ATS dating back to last season and are now far from the team that flitted with a No. 1 national ranking years back. Although Rebels Head Coach Hugh Freeze (36-27-1 ATS) had been a money-maker against Non-Conference opponents (15-1 SU, 14-2 ATS into 2017), Ole Miss failed to cover ATS against South Alabama and Tennessee-Martin in Weeks 1 and 2 at Home and the Rebels have now L6 straight ATS at Home at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. Next up? AJ Brown and Ole Miss heads home to the Magnolia State to face Vanderbilt on Saturday in Week 7 play (MISS 2-5 ATS L7, 0-4 ATS L7 Home).
5—Washington Continues to be Very Impressive, Still in CFP Playoffs Hunt
Despite losing much talent to the 2016 NFL Draft and many pundits seeing USC having a better chance at making the CFP Playoffs than them, Pac-12 powerhouse and #6 Washington (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) continued to roll and stay in the Big Hunt with a 38-7 romp over Cal in Seattle on Saturday (WASH -28½), improving to 4-2 ATS and 4-1 in its L5. The Huskies purple reign heads to Tempe on Saturday in Week 7 play to face the Sun Devils in a game in which Washington (4-2 ATS as Road favorite in 2016) won, 44-18, last season but failed to cover by 1 points as large 27-point Home Favorites in the Emerald City. The Huskies (28/1 to win 2018 CFP National Championship, BetOnline) still have UCLA (Oct. 28), Oregon (Nov. 4), Stanford in Palo Alto (Nov. 10), #20 Utah (Nov. 17) and quite potentially its game of the year against rivals and #11 Washington State in the Apple Cup. Even with four of those five dates at Home, the balance of the 2017 Regular Season schedule for QB Jake Browning, RB Myles Gaskin and the Huskies seems more than challenging and anything Head Coach Chris Petersen (25-19 ATS) can get from this treacherous Fall gridiron trek will be well-earned.
NCAAF WEEK 7 EARLY PICK: Colorado State over Nevada