Conference Championship Game Trends Continue in Pac-12, Big 12, Conference USA - Let’s take a look at all of the results from Conference Championship Week and their betworthy Trends as we look forward to the CFP Playoff and the 2017/18 FBS Bowl season.
1—North Division Proves its Still the Division to Bet On in the Pac-12 Conference Championship Game, At Least ATS ...
After closing at 3½ at most Offshore sportsbooks and as high as (UCS minus) 4 in some shops (Bovada, WagerWeb), the Pac-12 North Division winner (Stanford) covered ATS for the 5th consecutive year in the Pac-12 Conference Championship Game from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on Friday night as the Cardinal scored a late TD (2:09 left) in the 4th Quarter on Friday night to barely get the money in a game that saw South Division champions USC open at -3 (BetOnline). The SU Loss by Stanford was the first ever for the North Division (6-1 SU) in the Pac-12 title tilt which has now seen the North Division go a profitable 5-2 ATS (71.4%) after Stanford (-8) and Oregon (-31) won but failed to cover back in 2012 and 2011 respectively, the first two years of for a Championship Game being played by The Conference Formerly Known As The Pac-10 before Colorado (former Big 12) and Utah (former MWC) joined the Pac party in 2011. If U didn’t come 2 party, don’t bother knockin’ on the door.
The North Division—through Stanford (3), Washington (1) and Oregon (2)—had won the previous five Pac-12 Conference Games by margins of 31, 19, 24, 3 and 18, so the victory by QB Sam Darnold (325 Passing yards, 2 TDs), RB Ronald Jones II (30 Rushes, 140 yards, 2 TDs), WR Michael Pittman Jr. (7 receptions, 146 yards, TD) and Southern Cal was the first for a North Division side in this still relatively new Pac -12 title tilt.
2—Team From South Division Has Now Won 6 Consecutive Big 12 Conference Championship Games After OU Enema
After playing no Conference Championship Game since 2010 when Nebraska (now a Big Ten member) was still playing in the conference, a team from the Big 12 South Division has now W6 straight Big 12 Conference Championship Games SU after QB Baker Mayfield and the South Division-winners and #3 Oklahoma (FBS-high 12.3 Yards Per Pass Attempt) beat North Division-winners and #11 TCU (10-2, 7-5 ATS) in a convincing 41-17 win and ATS cover on Saturday (OKLA -7½, 63½, BookMaker) in the first Big 12 title tilt since 2010 (Nebraska-Oklahoma). With the win, 19th-year Head Coach Bob Stoops (134 -111-1 ATS) and the Sooners—who raced out to a 17-0 lead in the 1st Quarter, saw the Horned Frogs rally to make it 24-14 at Halftime before likely Heisman Trophy winner Mayfield (243 Passing yards, 4 TDs) and Oklahoma outscored TCU 17-0 again in the 3rd Quarter—are now no doubt headed to the CFP Playoffs Semifinals—either the Rose Bowl or Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day.
FBS powerhouse Oklahoma (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) improved to 8-1 SU all-time in Big 12 title tilts, W6 straight appearances and going an incredible 8-1 ATS also, losing only to South Division-winners Kansas State in 2003, 35-7. Instead of having the winners of the South and North divisions play in their Championship Game, the Big 12 is now sending the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds (best overall Conference Records) to the title tilt. Oklahoma has won the last 6 Big 12 Conference Championship Games in which it has appeared, winning by 24, 3, 41, 21, 14 and 39 points, or, an average of 23.7 ppg. Confucius say back Sooner again in Big 12 Conference Championship Game in 2018, and, Man who live in Glass House best dress in Basement.
3—East Division Wins Third Straight SU and ATS in Conference USA Championship After FAU Romp over Mean Green
With East Division-winner Florida Atlantic’s 41-17 SU Win and ATS cover over West Division-winner North Texas (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) in the Conference USA Championship Game on Saturday afternoon from FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida (FAU -11, 71½ 5Dimes), the East Division has now W4 consecutive Conference USA titles SU and W3 straight ATS after Western Kentucky covered both in 2016 and 2015 with the Hilltoppers giving 12 and 7 points to Louisiana Tech (WKU 58-44) and Southern Mississippi (WKU 45-28) respectively. This Week 14 ATS result seemed easy for the Owls (10-3 SU)—who were 3-9 SU last season—who raced out to a 27-0 lead at Halftime and who have thrived under 1st-year Head Coach Lane Kiffin (9-4 ATS). The East Division winner (FAU or WKU) has now outscored the West Division winner (NT, LT Southern Miss) by an average of 18.3 ppg the L3 C-USA Championship Games in a game which sees the school with the best Conference Record getting to host the contest and the Home team has now W6 in a row and 8 of the L9 SU in the C-USA Championship Games and have had the recent edge at the betting windows and top sportsbooks.
4—ACC Atlantic Division Has Now W7 SU Conference Championship Games After Clemson Rout, But Still 4-7 ATS L11
Top-ranked Clemson’s dominated #7 Miami Florida in the ACC Championship Game from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte on Saturday night, 38-3 (CLEM -12½, YouWager) in a result which was very good for the Sharps and General Public alike who bet this game up week from its opening -6½ (-105, BetOnline) all the way up 6 points to its closing 12½ at most Offshores with outlier 5Dimes closing with a (Clemson minus) 16 (+150) line. QB Kelly Bryant and the Tigers jumped out to a 21-0 lead at Halftime as Bryant connected on his first 12 Passes against the Hurricanes (#1 in FBS in TO Margin) for the ACC Atlantic and defending FBS National Champions. With the result, the Atlantic Division winner has now W7 SU ACC Conference Championship Games over the Coastal Division with the ATS result zig-zagging hard after the Atlantic’s (Clemson’s) ATS cover in Week 14 (WLWLWLW), so maybe back the Atlantic in odd-numbered years and the Coastal in even-numbered years?
And even though the Atlantic Division has now W7 straight ACC Championship Games, it is a money-burning 4-7 the L11 ATS in large part to a 4-year ATS Winning Streak by the Coastal Division from 2007 to 2010 in the title tilt. Since 2005, the Atlantic Division is 6-7 ATS with members Florida State and Wake Forest winning SU and ATS in 2005 and 2006 against Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech respectively. And with the SU Win, WR Hunter Renfrow and Clemson captured the ACC Conference championship for a third straight year in a game which sent the Tigers to the CFP Playoffs, now in its fifth year, a third straight time. In their L2 meetings, Clemson has outscored Miami, 96-3 (CLEM 58 MIAMI 0, CLEM 38 MIAMI 3), although the Hurricanes are on a 3-0 run after a late Michael Badgley 22-yard FG on Saturday.
5—Team Who is #1 in College Football Playoff Rankings Into Conference Championships Improves to 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
Another extremely new thing (the CFP Playoffs) has a Trend that clicked (and remained perfect) again this year in that the #1 ranked team by the Selection Committee the week heading into the Conference Championship Week has won their showdowns to improve to 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS after Clemson’s disemboweling of Miami Florida in the Tar Heel State en Sabado noche in their aforementioned one-sided and oh-so-anticlimactic ACC Championship Game. (If it was a fight, they would have called it in the 3rd Quarter). Last year (2016), Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarbrough and then No. 1-ranked Alabama faced Florida in the SEC Championship Game, trouncing the Gators, 54-16 (ALA -23½), then making soup of the remains of the big reptiles.
In 2015, now Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson and Clemson were ranked #1 by the CFP Selection Committee, and in the ACC Championship Game, the Tigers eked out an ATS cover over North Carolina, 45-37 (CLEM -6½), while back in 2014—the first season of the CFP Playoff and Championship Game—Alabama was again the #1 team and the Crimson Tide showed Missouri who’s who in a 42-13 crunching in which Alabama got the money as 14-point Favorites. So, a tidy 4-0 SU/ATS for the #1 ranked team by the CFP Selection Committee heading into Conference Championship Week.
So, remember that for Week 14 and the first weekend of December next year, or we’ll be here to remind you. The Trend can often be your FBS friend. The CFP selection Committee will be announcing the final four teams who will be in the New Year’s Day CFP Playoff Bowl games tonight (Sunday) on ESPN (9:30 pm EST/5:30 pm PST) and it looks like the ACC’s Clemson, the Big 12’s Oklahoma, the SEC’s Georgia and either the Big Ten’s Ohio State or the SEC’s Alabama who will be the big day’s likely participants, with a slight lean to JT Barrett and the Buckeyes making it for the way they held off a previously unbeaten Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship game. The CFP National Championship Game will be held a week later on Monday, January 8 at the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (ESPN, 8:30 pm EST/5:30 pm PST).
NCAAF WEEK 15 FCS QUARTERFINALS PICKS: North Dakota State over Wofford, South Dakota State over New HampshireEARLY Week15 FBS College Football Pick: Navy -3½ over Army
Best Lines Currently at 5Dimes