5 Bet-worthy Things We Learned Betting College Football Week 12

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Kevin Stott

Sunday, November 19, 2017 12:47 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 19, 2017 12:47 PM UTC

Big Ten member Purdue and Mountain West Conference side UNLV continued to be profitable ATS teams on the Road with both winning outright as Road Underdogs this week while Arizona continued to give up the ghost away from Tucson, losing at Oregon in a game good for the early Sharp money and a result which saw the Wildcats fall to 2-13 ATS their L15 games. 

1—UNLV Has been a Strong Money-Making Team ATS on the Road Last 2 Regular Seasons

After Friday night’s last-minute MWC Win at New Mexico, 38-35 (NM -3, 55), UNLV (6-4-1 ATS) is now 5-0 ATS on the Road this 2017 Regular Season and has covered 6 straight games ATS away from Sin City and with the victory over Los Lobos at University Field in Albuquerque, UNLV (5-6 SU) and Head Coach Tony Sanchez (9-13 ATS) also stayed in the hunt for a potential Bowl berth. QB Armani Rogers (School-record 193 Rushing yards vs NM) and the Rebels will play their Silver State rivals Nevada (2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS into Week 12) at Reno in Week 13 for the precious Fremont Cannon next weekend (Nov. 25) and with a .500 Record, a Bowl Berth and the coveted Cannon all at stake (NEV 25-17 SU), expect a game effort in The Biggest Little City in The World from RB Lexington Thomas (127 Rushing yards vs NM) and UNLV who are a profitable 7-1 ATS its L8 on the Road overall. But the series Trends show the Wolf Pack are a profitable 8-4 ATS the L12 meetings and 5-2 ATS the L7 at Mackay Stadium (FieldTurf). Lean UNLV.

 

2—Alabama, Clemson, Florida State Pulverize FCS Foes, Cover ATS, Win by Combined 194-9 Tally

Probably more entertaining than betworthy, #1 Alabama, defending national champions and #4 Clemson and previously winless ATS Florida State all covered massive Week 12 spreads...against FCS opponents. The top-ranked Crimson Tide went into their Home game against Mercer as huge 48- to 49-point Favorites against the Bears, and after getting out to a breezy 35-0 Halftime lead after 14-0 and 21-0 1st and 2nd Quarters, QB Jalen Hurts and Defense-minded Alabama (11.2 ppg, #1 Scoring Defense) sealed the deal with a 7-0 2nd Half en route to a 56-0 Final scoreline at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa on Saturday afternoon (Total 56½, Heritage). No. 4 Clemson got out to a 35-0 lead at half at Home at Clemson Memorial Stadium in Clemson, SC against Citadel and the cruised to a 61-3 victory over the Bulldogs, covering the mammoth 46- to 46½ selectively found Point Spread in a game that trickled over the 62½ Total thanks to a 4th Quarter Citadel FG.

And, previously winless ATS Florida State finally got its backers the money at the betting window, the Seminoles defeated FCS side Deleware State in Tallahassee by a 77-6 score, covering the brontosaurus-like 51-point spread (Total 55½, Heritage) in another game in which some bettors had to find the right Offshore sportsbook in which to place a bet. The three teams won by a combined score of 194-9 with a Delaware State TD in the 1st Quarter against the Seminoles and that aforementioned late Citadel FG Quarter against the Tigers accounting for the only points against these three perennial FBS powerhouses in the first and only games of the season against FCS competition for the trio and a perfect spot on the Regular season schedule for one team to get an easy Win and a tuneup for Week 13 and any future Bowl game with the other, almost always a Road team, getting a lucrative payday and knowing its fate when the schedule is released.

3—Purdue Good Money-Maker of Late on the Road, 15-3 ATS L18 as Road Underdog

Big Ten team Purdue (5-6 SU, 7-4 ATS into Week 12) continued to excel in the role of Road underdog, covering ATS as 7-point against host Iowa (4-7 SU, 2-8-1 ATS) as 7-point Road Underdogs at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City on Saturday afternoon, winning outright 24-15 as...the Boilermakers improved to 15-3 ATS L18 in Road Underdog (83.3%) role in a series which has now seen the Road team cover ATS 8 straight. First-year Purdue Head Coach Jeff Brohm (7-4 ATS at Purdue) has gone an impressive 27-15-1 ATS L43 on the board as a Head Coach according to respected handicapper and scribe Bruce Marshall and were priced as high as +200 on the Moneyline (BetDSI, Bovada). The next chance to back the Boilermakers on the Road as an Underdog? Well, we’ll all have to wait until next season as Purdue closes the Regular Season at Home in West Lafayette this coming Saturday in Week 13 with Hoosier State rivals Indiana in town in the fight for the Old Oaken Bucket (PUR 58-31-3) as well as a chance for the Boilermakers to get to the .500 mark in a series which has seen the Hoosiers W4 SU but go just 2-2 ATS, with Purdue covering as huge 21-point Road Underdogs (that role) at The Rock in Bloomington in the last week of the 2016 Regular Season.

 

 

4—TCU Trending Strong as Under Team, Horned Frogs Unders Improve to 9-2 Season After Week 12, 15-3 Last 18

Texas Christian (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) continued to play Under games, throttling host Texas Tech in Lubbock, 27-3 (TCU -7) in a game which went well Under the posted Total which closed in a range of 52 (BetOnline) to 54½ (Heritage) in Big 12 Week 12 play on Saturday afternoon. Seventeenth-year Head Coach Gary Patterson (104-97-1 ATS) and the Horned Frogs have now played to 9 Unders and 2 Overs this season after closing the 2015 Regular Season on a 6-1 Under run meaning TCU Unders are now a profitable 15-3 the L18 Regular Season games. TCU’s Bowl game against Georgia last season went Over the Total (49) in a 31-23 Loss to the Bulldogs. In Week 12, TCU will be welcoming Baylor to Amon G. Carter Stadium (Grass) in Ft. Worth in the Regular Season finale on Friday. Last year, this meeting went Over the Total (67½) in a 62-22 TCU thumping in Waco (TCU 5-0 ATS L5, 4-0 ATS L4 at Home).

5—Arizona Now a Full-Blown Full Fade When Playing on the Road in Pac-12 Conference, 2-11 ATS Last 13 Games

Arizona (7-4 SU, 5-5-1 ATS into Week 12) fell to 2-11 ATS the L13 ATS on the Road in Pac-12 play after losing to Oregon in a Pac-12 meeting from Eugene on Saturday night, 48-28 (Total 77) in a game which saw the Point Spread go from an Opening PK all the way up to Oregon -3 at most Offshore sportsbooks and a good result for the players, especially the Sharps who hit the line early with heavy Ducks money. Even with the ATS cover, Oregon (6-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) is still just 7-17-1 ATS the L25 and these two teams may be teams to bet against again next season although 6th-year Wildcats Head Coach Rich Rodriguez (27-33-2 ATS) seemingly has the Arizona program headed in the right direction this Regular Season after the Cats went an abysmal 3-9 SU (2-9 ATS) last year.

Next up on the Schedule for Arizona in Week 13, a chance to use this Betworthy Trend as they travel north to suburban Phoenix and Tempe to face Grand Canyon State rivals Arizona State (6-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) in The Duel In The Desert next Saturday afternoon (PACN, 4:30 pm ET/1:30 pm PT), a series which sees the Wildcats holding a 49-40-1 SU lead heading in. The L2 times these two met, the games have been extremely high-scoring with Arizona rolling to a 56-35 victory last year as 1-point Home Favorites in Tucson, while the last meeting in Tempe saw the Sun Devils prevail, 52-37, covering ATS as and winning outright as 6-point Home Underdogs in 2015, so, an average of 90 points (91, 89). Arizona State should probably win by double-digits this time around in the Sonoran Desert.


FREE College Football Picks:  TCU over Baylor, Arizona State over Arizona
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