Trying to Spin the Plusses on 3-Team Texas Tech, UCF, Sparty Moneyline Underdog Parlay | Betting to win is usually the mindset of the professional and normal sports gamblers, but every now and then, rolling the dice on a little $10 to $20, 3- to 4-team Underdog Moneyline parlay is a recreational and fun way to employ your money, with a high payout always a possibility,
Terrapins (3-8 ATS L11 off Bye Week) here , QB McKenzie Milton (4 TDs, INT) and the visiting Knights are very capable of pulling off the outright upset in this spot (UCF +150 M/L, JustBet) with 2nd-year HC Scott Frost (7-6 ATS) has this program headed in the right direction again and a win here would really jump-start the UCF (Betting #333) Regular Season. But buyer better beware here as the Trends show UCF is 1-5 ATS L6 on FieldTurf.
Saturday, September, 23, 2017
Leg 1—Texas Tech +220 Moneyline over Houston, 12 pm ET (ABC, ESPN2): TDECU Stadium (Synthetic) in Houston is the Site of this Non-Conference Lone Star State meeting on Saturday between Texas Tech (2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS) and Houston (2-0 SU/ATS) in Week 4. QB Nic Shimonek (63-80, 927 yards, 9 TDs, 213.2 Rating) and Texas Tech (985/1 to win CFP National Championship, Heritage) have scored over 50 points in both of its first two games, a 56-10 win over Eastern Washington (TT -10) and a 52-45 victory over Arizona State (TT -7), both at Home in Lubbock. DT Ed Oliver—2016 Freshman All American of the Year—and Houston (1.14 PAE) beat Arizona in Tucson in Week 2, covering ATS as small 1½-point chalks, 19-16, and then boiled Rice last weekend in its Home opener, 38-3, covering ATS as 23½-point Favorites. So neither team has cost their backers any money at the betting windows, and surprisingly, 3 of the 4 games these teams have played have gone Under.
Texas A&M transfer QB Kevin Allen and the Cougars are currently between 6½- (Pinnacle) and 7-point Favorites (5Dimes) for this early start affair from H-Town and the Over may be worth consideration (Total 71-71½ range) as a Straight bet with both of these sides so unashamedly willing to pass and the Over 4-1 in the Red Raiders L5 overall, 5-1 in their L6 Road games and 12-2 the L14 vs. Teams With a Winning Record. WR Keke Coutee (17 Receptions, 285 yards, 16.8 ypr, 3 TDs), WR Dylan Cantrell (12 Receptions, 195 yards, 16.3 ypc, 2 TDs) and Derrick Willies (8 Receptions, 182 yards, 22.8 ypr, 2 TDs) and Texas Tech (Betting #375) have done well on the Road lately (5-2 ATS L7 Road) and the Red Raiders (4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 ATS L5 Non-Conference) are 21-8-2 ATS L31 September games. Head-to-head, Texas Tech (+0.87 PAE) is 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. Houston and 5-1 SU against the Cougars since 1992. This is definitely a game the visitors can win and expect Big 12 side Texas Tech to go in with that mindset against the perceived lesser American Athletic Conference host.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Texas Tech 50 Houston 38
Leg 2—Central Florida +145 Moneyline over Maryland, 3 pm ET (FS1): Two very underrated FBS teams meet at Byrd Stadium (FieldTurf) in College Park, Maryland when Central Florida (1-0 SU/ATS) and Maryland (2-0 SU/ATS) face each other in College Football Week 4 on the first Saturday of Fall in a Non-Conference matchup between two teams who should make Bowl games. Early UCF money drove this line from (UCF minus) 5½ down to 3½ (Total 60, YouWager)
These are two of the top teams in Total Offense so far with UCF at #5 with 587.0 ypg and Maryland at #18 (508.0 ypg) although the Knights have only been able to play one game with dates against Memphis (Week 2) and Georgia Tech (Week 3) washed out because of Hurricane Irma. When these two met in Orlando last season, the Terrapins won 30-24 but failed to cover ATS as big 10½-point Road Favorites. Both teams will be well-rested and neither wants that first Loss and this UCF pick seems like the biggest gamble of the three with the Terps playing so well.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Central Florida 34 Maryland 31
Leg 3—Michigan State +160 Money Line vs. Notre Dame, 8 pm ET (FOX): QB Brandon Wimbush (Rushed for 207 yards vs. BC in Week 3) and Notre Dame (130/1 to win CFP National Championship, BookMaker) head to Spartan Stadium (Grass) in East Lansing on Saturday night to face Michigan State in a Non-Conference Week 4 matchup and a game in which sportsbooks have the visiting Fighting Irish as 3½-point chalks with Notre Dame priced at -165 on the Money Line (JustBet). So far this season, Notre Dame (2-1 SU/ATS) has beaten and covered against Temple (Week 1, ND -20, ND 49 TEMP 16) at Home in South Bend and against Boston College last weekend in Week 3 in Beantown (ND -14, ND 49 BC 20) and falling to SEC side Georgia in South Bend, 20-19, losing outright to the Bulldogs as 5½-point Favorites as Touchdown Jesus watched and wept golden tears. Michigan State Betting #362) had a Bye Week last weekend and the Spartans won and covered ATS against MAC sides Bowling Green in Week 1 (35-10, MSU -17) and against Western Michigan in Week 2 (28-14, MSU -7) and Michigan State won’t play a Road game until it heads to Ann Arbor to bang helmets with rivals Michigan on Oct. 7.
The series Trends show the Fighting Irish to be 2-7 ATS L9 games on Grass and 0-4 ATS their L4 against the Big Ten but a solid 8-3 following a Bye Week. MSU is 5-0 in its L5 Home games, 5-1 ATS L6 on Grass, and 13-6 ATS L19 against Notre Dame (-2.01 PAE), so the Surface, Site and some of the series Trends show edges for Sparty here. Other differences here should be the heart and expectations from a now underrated Big Ten side seemingly stuck in the permanent shadows of schools like Ohio State, Penn State and Wisconsin and familiar with this foe. The Spartans won 36-28 as 7½-point dogs in South Bend last year.
PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Michigan State 30 Notre Dame 27
NCAAF WEEK 4 UNDERDOG MONEYLINE 3-TEAM PARLAY: Turn a Tenth of a Unit into Nearly 2 Units
Texas Tech +220-Central Florida +145 -Michigan State +160A $10 Play at 5Dimes Wins You $193